>

About

The Center for Strategic Translation provides statesmen and scholars with the tools needed to interpret the Chinese party-state of today while training a new generation of China specialists with the skills needed to guide our relations with the China of tomorrow.

The Center meets this need through initiatives in translation and education. The Center locates, translates, and annotates documents of historic or strategic value that are currently only available in Chinese. Our introductory essays, glossaries, and commentaries are designed to make these materials accessible and understandable to statesmen and scholars with no special expertise in Chinese politics or the Chinese language.

Complementing the Center’s published translations are the Center’s training seminars. Starting in the summer of 2023 the Center will host a series of seminars to instruct young journalists, graduate students, and government analysts in the open-source analysis of Communist Party policy, introduce them to the distinctive lexicon and history of Party speak, and train them how to draw credible conclusions from conflicting or propagandistic documentary sources.
    
The Center is an initiative of the American Governance Foundation, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization that studies and promotes the betterment of American public institutions and publishes the quarterly magazine Palladium. The Center is directed by Tanner Greer, a noted essayist, journalist, and researcher with expertise interpreting China in the context of American foreign policy.

Contact

Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.

Uncertainty Created by America

美国制造的疑惑

Introduction

Note: The following translation is taken from Politburo Standing Committee member Wang Huning’s 1991 book, America Against America. It is one of several excerpts of this book translated by the Center for Strategic Translation. A general introduction to the book, as well as links to the other excerpts, can be found here.

Wang Huning’s book America Against America has been described as “a book on U.S. decline.”  Readers who parse through Wang’s book in the 2020s, aware that relations between China and the United States will plunge downward as Wang rises to the top of China’s political system, will search for passages that presage the present crisis. Thus the most famous and most quoted section of Wang’s book is its least typical: a concluding chapter that catalogs the ills of American life. There Wang indicts the America of 1988 for its insoluble racial tensions, climbing crime rates, widespread drug use, and insufferable political correctness. He concludes this list with the great boogeyman of the late 1980s: a booming Japanese economy. Given its many social problems, Wang doubts that America has the social cohesion needed to compete with a rising Asian power.

These gloomy prophecies were neither especially original at the time they were delivered nor especially accurate in hindsight. Were they the crowning conclusions of a sustained, book length argument they would not speak well for the wisdom or insight of Wang Huning. However, America Against America’s most cited chapter is not its most representative. The dominant emotion of America Against America is a restless curiosity. Wang cannot help himself from traveling to, reading about, and talking with people from as many parts of the United States as possible. In America Against America Wang presents himself as amused, bemused, shocked, and awe-struck with the society he encounters on these travels.

This is an intellectual journey with no clear end point: America Against America presents far more questions than it does answers. The excerpt translated below—the opening sections of America Against America’s first chapter—introduces the question most central to Wang’s work.

Arriving from an undeveloped country whose economic productivity was as dependent on animals as electricity, Wang is shocked by what he finds when his plane touches down in New York. Countless American cars rocket by. Telephones ring in every American home. The soft glow of the computer screen lights up every American office place. These wondrous transportation and communication technologies form an inescapable web that makes all of American society “a dynamic whole.” The United States, Wang observes, is a “system of information extending in all directions” that enables “not just the movement of people and objects, but of ideas and energy.”

In face of this dazzling display of human ingenuity, Wang concludes that “one type of person will just think about how they can enjoy being in America; another type of person will ponder why there is an America.” For travelers from the third world the puzzle posed by American life is especially acute. The minds of these travelers cannot help but circle endlessly through the same set of questions: “What forces created such an awe-inspiring material civilization? What administrative and intellectual systems created the conditions for this development? Is such an end-state the result of chance, or was it a historic inevitability?”

Wang does not present these questions as having mere academic or intellectual interest. They come with a psychological cost: to visit America is to be thrust into a state of nagging “uncertainty” [疑惑]. As visitors ponder American technology they “begin feeling uncertain about [the American] system, which makes them feel uncertain about their own system… By entering the United States, one enters this [state of] uncertainty. Even without going to America you will still succumb to it. It is a strange phenomenon. It is easy to enter a state of uncertainty but hard to get out of it.”

Wang’s focus may surprise his American readers. Americans often think that constitutionalism, liberal democracy, and universal truths about the equality of man are the United States’ most significant gift to humankind. But from the start of the 20th century to its close, foreigners in the mold of Wang Huning have honored the United States as the land of Edison, not the land of Jefferson. They understand that it was American entrepreneurs, scientists, and generals who forged the industrial civilization humanity now calls home. All the key pieces of this vast complex—be it electrification or assembly lines, semiconductors or skyscrapers, modern air travel or modern air conditioning—were invented or commercialized in the United States.

It is this America, the America that pioneered the greatest transformation the human species has experienced since foragers began farming 12,000 years ago, that so awed the young Wang Huning. He gazed at the cityscapes and spaceports of the United States with envy—and uncertainty. America Against America is his uncertain meditation on how the United States achieved these feats, and, by extension, what China might do to one day match them.

—THE EDITORS

1. Bloomberg News, “A $2,500 Book on U.S. Decline Is Suddenly a Must-Read in China,” Bloomberg, 21 January 2021.
2. Wang Huning 王沪宁, Meiguo Fandui Meiguo 美国反对美国 [America Against America] (Shanghai: Shanghai Wenyi Chuban She 上海文艺出版社 [Shanghai Humanities Publishing Co.], 1991), 344-390.
Author
Wang Huning
王沪宁
original publication
America Against America
美国反对美国
publication date
January 1, 1991
Translator
Leah Holder
Translation date
October 2023
Tags
Tag term
Tag term
No items found.

一、不均匀的土地

1. 美国制造的疑惑

CA985 经过日本东京,然后长途飞越波涛汹涌的太平洋,抵达旧金山。由于飞机误点,与欧洲抵美和日本抵美的班机挤在一起。平日里十分宽敞的取行李及过海关的大厅显得十分拥挤,人声鼎沸。不论从何处来的人,都带着一种抵达美国的兴奋心情。

有一架飞机可能是从法国来的,许多人讲法语。排队过关,等了一个多小时,大家也象在中国一样发牢骚,等的时间太久。许多人都以为排队在西方应该是没有的,岂料一到美国就要排这么长时间的队。旧金山机场入境处的海关办理柜台分为三类:一是美国公民,二是非美国公民,三是新移民。左边前两个入口为美国公民的入口,人烟稀少,显出作为美国公民的优越。非美国公民,入关口人数最多,顿觉低人一等。

在入关处,有成群的日本人。现在世界上日本人到处旅游、经商,成群结队,显示了富国富民的实力。尽管不少外国人觉得日本人不可爱,但这种经济力量使人不得不刮目相看。据说,由于日本人太多,美国政府正在考虑给予日本人一种待遇:免签证。据统计,这样一来,美国海关入口处的办关速度可加快三分之一。但外交上需要同等待遇,日本人似乎不愿意免美国人的签证。

从日本民族的发展,人们至少可以得出两个结论:一是经济实力是决定一个民族国际地位和国际形象的基本力量;二是一个民族的国际地位和国际形象并不仅仅取决于经济实力。

美国是一个许多方面都相当发达的社会,任何人一到美国都会感觉到一种“未来的冲击”。因此,人们就会思考,一种人是想如何享受美国,另一种人是思考为什么有美国。

对后一个问题,不同的人有不同的回答。我问朋友。一位朋友答:一是资源异常丰富,二是鼓励人才竞争。另一位朋友补充说,至少人们刚到美国时是这样。我问 G,一位在斯坦福大学攻读博士学位的朋友,答:传统。

我觉得这是一个最抽象、但又最有价值的解释。任何社会的发展都不是纯经济的力量所致,也非短期内的行为调整可致。一个社会发展到这样“富甲天下”的程度,绝非人为强行操作的结果。

那么什么力量在主导这个社会中的人做出世代的奋斗呢?人们可以得出许多具体的概念,如创新、奋斗、勤俭等。最为重要的是,这些东西能否成为一种文化基因,一种传统。不论什么有利于社会发展的因素,如果不是构成传统,便不可能根深蒂固地发生作用。

任何一种好的因素要产生作用,必须有几代人的努力。美国人整天讲创新,但实际上传统势力极强。中国人也整天讲创新,结果是传统屡起屡伏。有人言,美国人讲创新,并不在于反对传统。美国人的传统和创新如同一物,今日的传统只不过是三、五十年前的创新。中国人讲创新意在反传统。然而,一、二千年的传统却又不易反掉。

今天,人们大量涌入美国,便我们不能不深长思之。出来前几天,国内理论界正热烈讨论一个主题,就是对社会主义和资本主义的再认识。这个问题之所以目前在国内引起人们的讨论,基本原因在于社会主义搞了几十年,在经济等方面却不如资本主义。马克思在一百五十年前论证的社会发展程式究竟是否符合人类历史发展的进程?社会主义是否能最终战胜资本主义?这是当人的疑惑。想起在飞往美国的波音 747 飞机上放的电影《洪湖赤卫队》。中国人推翻了长期以来压在他们身上的三座大山,但这有没有确保中国社会发展的方向?像中国革命这样一场以农村包围城市为主,以农村人口为主要力量的革命,对一个社会的发展究竟会会产生什么样的影响?的确值得思考。

今日美国之发展,以其经济繁荣,其政治过程、其生活方式、其国际地位,在当今世界上制造了一大大的疑惑。处于发达国家中的人带有这压根的疑惑:人类的科技和物质生活发展到这一步。是否违背了人的本性?是否会导致地球资源的枯竭?是否会最终致使人类走向毁灭?罗马俱乐部的同仁们对此忧心忡忡,长呼短吁。

处于发展中国家的人却带着截然不同的疑惑:是什么力量创造了如此令人眼花繚乱的物质文明?什么体制在管理和智力上为这种发展创造了良好的条件?这样一个境界是偶然的抑或必然的?人们开始怀疑这种体制,人们开始怀疑自己的体制。无论怎么说,美国都制造了一种疑惑。

走进美国,便走进了这种疑惑。没有走进美国,也会陷入这种疑惑。一个奇怪的现象是:走入疑惑易,走出疑惑难。

2.曼哈顿和唐人街

飞机抵达纽约上空。下来后,取了行李。人都走光了,还不见约定来接人的朋友的影子,心里紧张。听朋友介绍,一到纽约,会觉得一种恐怖感,这里犯罪率极高。生怕遭遇上歹徒,因为颇为忐忑不安。半个小时后,朋友前来,如释重负。

出机场后,直接来到联合国大厦。联合国大厦的建筑雄伟堂皇。我们去了安全理事会,拍了照。有前往联合国大会会场,找到中国代表团的席位,坐上去拍了一张照片。又在联合国讲台上各人照了一张发表演说的照片。在联合国参观时,看到各国送的精美而贵重的礼品,如中国的象牙雕塑,泰国的御船,苏联送的图画等等。这表明这个世界上的公民都想在联合国得到一种声誉,但现实生活中又有多少国家信奉联合国的原则呢?这似乎与一个人的团体一样,每个人都想加入它,并显示自己对它的热爱,但实际上处处违背它。

当今世界,利益多元化,意识形态壁垒森严,各种冲突层出不穷,联合国的确没有起到它应有的作用。但是,联合国也起了不可低估的作用,尤其是在社会经济文化发展方面。在消弭冲突方面,两伊停火也算是个杰出的例子。

今天的世界仍然是一个需要人类加以控制的世界。望着联合国大厦前化剑为犁的雕像,思索人们该用什么方法来熔化利剑。过去的历史表明,许多认为战火也是一种手段,结果是以剑化剑,总不成犁。

纽约的唐人街,觉得风格颇为熟悉。比起其他地方显得稍微脏乱一些。据说唐人街是一块复杂的地区,中国人特有的现象在这里都有。令人想起柏杨的“丑陋的中国人”。没有在唐人街多走,从外表看看,做小本生意的很多。在这块熙熙攘攘的地段,望着满街写满中国字的找牌,令人回想起遥远的中国。这块地方与曼哈顿区的其他地段形成鲜明的对照。一个令人想起中国文化,一个告诉人们西方文化。

在美国,畅谈美国和中国,几乎是所有在美国的中国学者和留学生的永恒话题。在这个永恒的话题中,又有两个永恒的中心:经济发展和政治民主。美国在本世纪取得的经济成就和科技进步,是有目共睹的,当今世界还没有哪个国家能超越它。日本人虽然咄咄逼人,来势凶猛,后来居上,但除了经济上的竞争实力之外,在军事、文化、资源等领域还是不能与美国相提并论。

需要加以分析的是,美国的经济发展对其政治发展究竟起了什么作用。在这两个方面,美国皆为世界所瞩目。而中国在这两个方面欠账太多。因而,这两个方面都成为现代化过程中永恒的话题。中国的经济现代化如何实现?最根本问题是,在公有制条件下能否完成经济现代化的过程?当今世界上发达国家大都不是公有制。这一现实,给人们最大的思维挑战。

其次是政治民主如何发展?与经济同步,还是不同步?这两大课题成了今年来讨论的热点。

一种说法是,没有政治民主,经济现代化不可能达到;反驳的一件事,香港、台湾、新加坡、南朝鲜在经济起飞阶段并没有政治民主,香港是殖民统治,台湾是一党专政,南朝鲜是军人干政。另一种说法是,经济发展了,政治民主就有了条件,例子是新兴工业地区和国家的民主化运动;反驳的意见也很强烈:西方发达国家在资产阶级革命后,经济并不算发达,远不能和今天一些发展中国家的经济实力相比,但民主共和制的体制基本建立了。

这个问题,大约是中国理论界必须深长思之的。经济发展只是一种现象,集中或者民主都有可能促进或者抑制经济发展,需要关心的是,在经济发展后社会中的哪些变化会有利于发展政治民主。

由于经济不发展,发展中国家在经济上就不能不依赖发达国家。主要是在高科技、设备、精密仪器等方面。不过也要视各个国家的发展阶段不同,如非洲国家,就主要需要食品以维持基本生存条件。不论需要什么,结果形成了一种特殊的交换机制:发展中国家要拿出最好的东西与发达国家交换。于是发展中国家的人民无法享受本国生产的最优产品,甚至是第二等产品也不能享受。因为第二等产品要供来到这些国家的外国人消费。

美国市场上各国各地区的产品都有,中国、台湾、南朝鲜、日本、牙买加、墨西哥等。世界各国各地区的精华产品都涌向美国市场,以换取美元。由于大家都想取得美元,形成强大的竞争,产品的质量很高,价格却很低。这种状况造成美国市场空前的繁荣。这是市场机制造成的结果,也是二次大战后布雷顿森林会议确定的美元的世界地位给美国带来的好处。当然,外国的产品大批进入美国,冲击美国本身的工业,造成工厂倒闭,失业增加,这一点也不能不看到,所以自由贸易和保护主义这两大势力始终争斗不休。

3. 四个 C 多

在美国生活不久之后,发现这个社会有几样东西特别多。透过这些东西的表面现象,可以发现社会动态组织的一些基本条件。先说这四多。

1. 车多(Car)大小城市,高速公路和乡村公路上时时都跑着成串的汽车。

车的形状千姿百态,各种各样的型号应有尽有。在华盛顿时,英国 Essex 大学的副校长安东尼·金(Antony King)曾指着街上形形色色的车对我说:“十年前,我在美国看到的大部分车都是美国制造的,如今各式各样的车都有,日本车尤其多。”美日之间的汽车战已经是众所周知。日本汽车之所以能打入美国市场,一个重要的原因是,美国汽车市场实在是太大,汽车对于个人实在太重要。

在美国没有汽车就像没有腿。高速公路系统十分发达,一般左右各三个通道。分高、中、慢三档,有的地方左右各有七个车车道。上面日夜不停地跑着各种汽车。一般家庭都有汽车,许多家庭不止一辆。在斯坦福大学我曾去一位教授家,共有三辆车。美国的私人拥有汽车总数之大在世界上也是屈指可数的。

2. 电话多(Call)在美国,走到哪里都可以看到电话。所有的办公室和家庭都有电话。家庭的电话还有一个到几个分机。在公共场所,都有自动电话机,投入一定数目的硬币就可以打。现在又推出一种电话卡电话机,打电话时只要将卡塞入电话机就可以打。机场里,有一排排这种自动电话。在旅馆里也设置了很多这类电话。我在华盛顿时住过 Sheraton 和 Hilton 饭店,楼下大厅里都有成排的自动电话。在大学中,公共场所也设有这类电话,如图书馆、饭堂、会场、计算机中心、语言中心等。

不仅电话多,而且灵捷方便。无论打到哪里,都很迅速。国内长途电话,拿起话筒拨号,最多半分钟便可接通。打到世界各地,也不费事,拿起电话来拨就行。人们办事地一大特点是利用电话,很多事情均靠电话来解决,包括谈恋爱。有不少家长对我说,子女打电话谈恋爱,一打两个小时,其他电话打不进来,费用颇巨。自然,电话系统发达的社会功能不在这里,可以谈恋爱,也可以谈别的。

3. 电脑多(Computer)电脑之多,也是一大特色。无论走到哪里,都可以看到与你打交道的人要用电脑。参观国家安全委员会时,发现里面的人都使用电脑。大学教授办公室或家里都有电脑。在旅馆住,整个管理是电脑化的。在运输部版驾驶执照,都要输入电脑。在商店和饭堂购物,付账是电脑化的。在图书馆检索,资料检索是电脑化的。到银行存钱,其系统是电脑化的。工厂生产、政府办公、军队作战、飞机上天等等,都大量使用电脑。

电脑使一切事物变得迅速、准确、易查。电脑还可并入全国性或世界性的网络。我在耶鲁大学参观图书馆时,他们东亚负责人马先生马上打入我的名字,几秒钟便查出在另外两所大学有我的《国家主权》和《比较政治分析》两书。电脑还可以相互通话,只要知道对方的电脑号码(Bignet ID),就可以输入想告诉对方的内容。

4.  卡多(Card)这里的“卡”绝不是中国的“卡”的概念,中国有过一些卡,如煤球卡、蛋卡、日用品卡、菜卡等,都是纸做的卡。这里讲的卡是一种塑料质地的卡,背后有一条磁带式的东西,可以存储信息。此类卡,多得不胜枚举,如信用卡,取钱卡,借书卡,电话卡,身份卡……每一种卡又有不同种类。

新的卡还在不断涌现,报纸上曾经刊登一则消息说,一家航空公司推出一项新的服务,购一定的票可以免费享受头等舱的待遇,凭证是一张这样的卡。我从旧金山到爱荷华,坐联合航空公司的飞机,机票其实就是一张类似于这样的卡。

卡和电脑联系在一起,只要把卡插入一定的电脑,就可以办成有关的事情,如:取钱、存钱、查自己的存款数目,都可用卡和电脑来解决,不必找银行职员。差不多有工作的人拿出皮夹子,里面都有一大堆卡。由于卡多,皮夹子也变革了,里面有数个专门用来放卡的袋子。中国现在做的皮夹子,恐怕是不能出口到美国或者其他西方国家,因为没有放卡的地方。

以上将的是“四个 C 多”的现象。重要是它们在社会组织和社会管理中起的作用:

  1. 车多,使整个社会构成一个动态的整体,随着车辆运动的不仅有人和物品,还有思想、观念和精神;
  2. 电话多,使整个社会构成四通八达的信息系统,语言的传递伴随着情感、信息的传递;
  3. 电脑多,使整个社会管理的一体化达到很高的程度,电脑信息是一种公平的管理;
  4. 卡多,使整个社会的管理符号化,使人们对实物(人和物)的管理中解放出来,变成符号管理。

以上四个方面的发展对一个社会至关重要,其中这些方面是政治社会化,政治沟通的一股动力,一条渠道。这些方面的进展,使一个社会的制度、原则和精神日益深入人心,日益物质化,日益巩固。

“四个 C 多”带来的问题也不少,现代化是要人类社会和自然界付出代价的。

  • 车多——污染多,交通事故多,浪费多;
  • 电话多——干扰、窃听多;
  • 电脑多——社会通讯系统变得脆弱,一旦机器出故障,或有“病毒”侵入电脑,马上波及一大片,有时大批的数据资料荡然无存;
  • 卡多——失窃多,报失多,伪造犯罪多。

一个社会怎样巩固自己的制度是重大问题。单从制度着手,难得有牢固的制度,只有把制度真正注入到民众生活中去,才是真正的巩固。

Chapter One: A Heterogeneous Land

1. Uncertainty1 Created by America

After passing through Tokyo and traversing over the surging waves of the vast Pacific, Flight CA985 landed in San Francisco. Because of flight delays, the airport was crowded with flights arriving from Europe and Japan. The usually spacious baggage pickup area and customs clearance hall was crowded and bustling with people. No matter where they came from there was a sense of excitement about arriving in America.

One flight had probably arrived from France, since many people were speaking French. I lined up to go through customs and waited over an hour; everyone was complaining, like people back in China, about the wait taking too long. Many people think that there are not any lines in the West, so they do not expect to have to wait for such a long time when they arrive in the United States. The customs processing area at the San Francisco Airport was divided into three areas: the first for US citizens, the second for non-US citizens, and the third for new immigrants. The first two entrances on the left were for US citizens; these were not crowded, clearly showing the advantage of being an American. Non-US citizens—the largest number of people arriving—immediately felt inferior.

There were groups of Japanese people at the immigration gate. Nowadays, large numbers of Japanese people travel and do business all over the world, showing the strength of a wealthy country and people. Although many foreigners do not like Japanese people, they cannot help but respect them because of Japan’s economic power. It’s been said that the US government is considering granting Japanese people special treatment because there are so many of them: visa waiver status. Based on statistics, this would improve customs processing times by one-third. But diplomacy requires reciprocity, and the Japanese [government] does not seem willing to grant Americans visa waivers.

One can draw at least two conclusions from the Japanese nation’s development: first, economic strength is the basis for determining a nation’s international status and international image; second, a nation’s international status and international image do not depend on economic strength alone.   

The United States is a very developed society in many respects. Anyone who comes to the US will feel a sort of “future shock.”2 [In this situation], one type of person will just think about how they can enjoy being in America; another type of person will ponder why there is an America.

Different people have different answers to the latter question. I asked some friends; one answered: first, [the United States] is extremely rich in resources, and second, it encourages competition among talented people. Another friend added that at least people [feel this way] when they first come to America. I also asked G, a friend studying for a PhD at Stanford. He answered “tradition.”

I think this is the most abstract but also the most valuable explanation. The development of any society is not purely a result of economic factors, nor is it caused by short-term adjustments in behavior. A society developing into the “richest in the world” is definitely not an outcome that can just be forced or manipulated into place by willful human effort. 

So, what forces have driven people in this society to strive for generations [to reach this level of success]? Many specific concepts to explain this have been suggested, such as innovation, work ethic, industriousness, and thrift. But what is most important is whether these forces can become a cultural gene: a tradition. Regardless of the factors that are conducive to social development, if these factors do not become a tradition, they will not become deeply rooted in a society.

It takes the efforts of several generations for factors like this to have an effect on a society. Americans talk constantly about innovation and, in reality, the American tradition [of innovation] is very strong. The Chinese also talk constantly about innovation, but [China’s] tradition [of innovation] has had its ups and downs. Some people say that, to Americans, innovation is not in conflict with tradition; to Americans, tradition and innovation are the same thing, since traditions that exist today were innovations only thirty or fifty years ago. To Chinese people, the idea of innovation is in opposition to tradition, and it is not easy to counteract thousands of years of tradition.       

Nowadays, many people flood to the US, and [this phenomenon] deserves deep reflection. A heated discussion has emerged among Chinese intellectuals recently on the topic of re-evaluating socialism and capitalism.3 The main reason this topic is currently being discussed in China is because socialism has been in place now for several decades but it does not measure up to capitalism in areas like the economy. Is the social development model demonstrated by Marx a hundred and fifty years ago compatible with the historical development of mankind? Can socialism ultimately triumph over capitalism? This is what people are uncertain about. This is like the movie Red Guards of Honghu Lake, which was shown on the Boeing 747 on my flight to the United States.4 The Chinese people overturned the “three mountains” of imperialism, feudalism, and bureaucratic capitalism, which had long burdened them, but did this guarantee the development of Chinese society?5 What impact do revolutions similar to the Chinese revolution, where rural areas overtook cities as the center [of society] and the rural population became the driving force [in society], have on the development of societies? It is certainly worth considering.   

Today, America’s development, with its economic prosperity, political processes, lifestyle, and international status, has sown a lot of uncertainty in the world. People in developed countries have this fundamental concern: human science and technology and material life have developed up to this stage. Is this [stage] contrary to human nature? Will it cause the depletion of the earth’s resources? Will it ultimately lead to the destruction of mankind? Members of the Club of Rome are deeply concerned about this and have [long voiced concern over this issue].6

However, people in developing countries have a completely different set of [questions]: what forces created such an awe-inspiring material civilization? What administrative and intellectual systems created the conditions for this development? Is such an [end-state] the result of chance, or was it a historic inevitability? People begin feeling uncertain about this system, which makes them feel uncertain about their own system. In any case, America  has created this uncertainty.   

By entering the United States, one enters this [state of] uncertainty. Even without going to America you will still succumb to it. It is a strange phenomenon. It is easy to enter a state of uncertainty but hard to get out of it. 

2. Manhattan and Chinatown

The plane landed in New York. After arriving I picked up my luggage. Everyone [from the flight] had gone, but there was still no trace of the friend who had agreed to pick me up so I was really nervous. I’d heard from a friend that it might be a bit scary when you arrive in New York, [since] the crime rate is extremely high. I feared I would run into criminals and was really uneasy. Half an hour later my friend arrived—I was so relieved.

We left the airport and went directly to the United Nations [headquarters]. The architecture was imposing and stately. We went to the Security Council [meeting venue] and took pictures. We went to the UN General Assembly meeting venue, found the seat of the Chinese UN Representative, sat in it and took a photo. We also took a photo of each of us giving a speech at the UN podium. While we were visiting the UN we saw the beautiful and valuable gifts from different countries, like ivory sculptures from China, royal ships from Thailand, and drawings from the Soviet Union. These gifts show that citizens of this world all want to [be respected] in the UN, but how many countries actually believe in the principles of the UN? It seems like everyone wants to join and show their love for it, but in reality, they constantly violate [what it stands for].

In today’s world, where there are diverse interests, strict ideological boundaries, and conflicts of all kinds constantly emerging, the UN has not served the purpose that it should serve. However, the UN still plays a role that cannot be underestimated, especially in the areas of socioeconomic and cultural development. With respect to [resolving] conflicts, the Iran-Iraq ceasefire is an outstanding example.

Today’s world is a world that still requires [conscious] human control. Looking at the statue in front of the UN building, where swords are turned into plowshares, I thought about what methods people should use [to resolve conflicts]. History shows that many people believe war is necessary, which results in swords being used as swords, not as plowshares. 

The atmosphere was familiar In New York’s Chinatown. It seemed a bit more rundown than other areas. It is said that Chinatown is a complex area and that it has everything to give it a characteristically Chinese appearance. It makes people think of Bo Yang’s The Ugly Chinese.7 I didn’t [spend much time] in Chinatown, but [from what I have seen] there are a lot of small businesses. Gazing at signs with Chinese characters on them over the streets in this bustling area reminds one of far-away China. This area stands in stark contrast to the rest of Manhattan. One place brings to mind Chinese culture; the other  informs one about Western culture.    

The United States and China are an eternal topic of conversation for nearly all Chinese scholars and foreign students in America. There are two eternal centers to this eternal topic: economic development and political democracy. The economic achievements and technological progress made by the US in this century are obvious to all; today no country in the world can surpass them. The Japanese are overbearing, fierce, and ascendant, but with the exception of their economic competitiveness they still cannot compare to the US in areas like military [power], culture, and natural resources. 

What needs to be analyzed is the role that America’s economic development has played in its political development. The United States holds the world’s attention in these two areas, whereas China is too lacking in them. Therefore, these two areas have become eternal topics in the modernization process. How can China’s economic modernization be realized? The most fundamental question is, can the process of economic modernization be achieved under public [state] ownership? Most developed countries in the world today do not have public [state] ownership. This reality poses the largest [intellectual] challenge to people.

Second, how does political democracy develop? Does it happen along with economic [modernization] or out of sync with it? These two major subjects have become hot topics of discussion this year.    

One argument is that economic modernization cannot be achieved without political democracy. The cases of Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea refute this, as they did not have political democracy when their economies really took off. Hong Kong was under colonial rule, Taiwan was under a one-party dictatorship, and South Korea was run by the military.  Another argument is that economic development will [create] the conditions for political democracy, an example being the democratization movements in newly-industrializing regions and countries. The counterargument to this is also very strong: after developed Western nations went through the bourgeois revolution, their economies were still not considered developed. Their economies were far from comparable to the economic strength of some of today’s developing countries, but the foundations for democratic systems were still established. 

This issue is probably something that theoretical circles in China should [focus on]. Economic development is just a phenomenon; centralization or democracy may spur or inhibit economic development, but the central concern needs to be whether the social changes that occur during the process of economic development are advantageous for the development of political democracy.

Without economic development, developing countries will have to depend on developed countries economically—primarily in areas like technology, equipment, and precision instrumentation. However, the different development stages of each country also have to be considered. For example, African countries primarily need food to sustain basic living conditions. Regardless of what their needs are, the result is the formation of a special exchange mechanism: developing countries need to use their best products in [market] exchanges with developed countries. As a result, people in developing countries have no way to partake in the best products produced in their own countries, or even the second-best products, as these products are consumed by foreigners who come to these developing countries.     

The US market has products from every country and region in the world, including China, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Jamaica, and Mexico. The best products from all countries and regions in the world [are drawn to] the US market in exchange for US dollars. Since everyone wants US dollars there is intense competition, so product quality is very high and prices are very low. This situation has created the unprecedented prosperity of the US market. This is the result of market mechanisms as well as a benefit the United States has enjoyed since the US dollar’s international status [as a global reserve currency] was determined at the Bretton Woods Conference after World War II.8 Of course, many foreign products have entered the United States and have challenged American domestic industries, causing factory closures and unemployment—this cannot be ignored. Therefore, the two major forces of free trade and protectionism are always at odds.

3. “The Four Cs”

After living in the United States for just a short time, I’ve [observed that there are] several things that are particularly ubiquitous in American society. By looking at this outer veneer, one can discover some fundamental characteristics of the societal dynamics operating in the United States. Four are discussed [below]: 

1. Many Cars – there are always clusters of cars driving in large and small cities, on highways and rural roads. Cars come in all shapes, sizes, and models.

When I was in Washington, Antony King, the Vice-Chancellor of the University of Essex in the UK, pointed to the various cars in the street and said to me: “Ten years ago, most of the cars I saw in the United States were made in the United States. Nowadays, there are all kinds of cars, especially Japanese cars.” The car war between the United States and Japan is [well underway]. Japanese cars have made such inroads in the American market primarily because of how large the American car market is and how important cars are to individual lives.

In the United States not having a car is like not having legs. The highway system is very well-developed, usually with three lanes on the left and the right. The lanes are divided by speed—fast, medium, and slow—and in some places there are seven lanes on both the left and right. All kinds of cars are driving day and night. Most families have a car, and many families have more than one. At Stanford University I once went to a professor’s house and [saw] there were three cars. The United States is one of the very few countries in the world with such a large number of privately-owned cars.   

2. Many Calls – In the United States there are phones everywhere you go. All offices and homes have phones. Some households even have several phones. All public spaces have [pay] phones where you can make calls by putting in a certain number of coins. Now there are also phone cards—all you have to do to make a call is insert the card into the phone. In airports there are rows of pay phones; there are also pay phones in hotels. When I was in Washington I stayed at the Sheraton and Hilton hotels, and each hotel had rows of pay phones in the lobby. Universities also have pay phones in public areas like libraries, dining halls, conference venues, computer centers, and language centers.

Not only are phones everywhere, but they’re also efficient and convenient; [the connection] is always very fast, regardless of where you are calling. To make domestic long-distance calls, you just pick up the phone and dial—you can get through in half a minute at most. Calling anywhere in the world is easy, you just pick up the phone and dial. Using the telephone is a big part of everyday life, including dating and falling in love. Many [American] parents told me that their sons and daughters make calls to their sweethearts that sometimes last for two hours; they monopolize the phone line so no other calls can come in, and it costs a lot of money.  Naturally a society with a well-developed telephone system [wouldn’t necessarily have this problem]—you can use phones for romance or to talk about other things.         

3.  Many Computers – the large number of computers is another major characteristic [of American society]. No matter where you go, you will see people using computers. When I visited the National Security Council, I noticed that everyone there used computers. College professors have computers in their offices or at home. At hotels the entire management system is computerized. Drivers licenses issued by the Department of Transportation [sic] must be entered into a computer. Payments in stores and restaurants are computerized. Records retrieval in libraries is computerized. The system for depositing money in a bank is computerized. Factory production, government offices, military operations, flights, etc. all use computers extensively.

Computers make everything fast, accurate, and easy to reference. Computers can also be integrated into national or international networks. When I visited the Yale University library, Mr. Ma, [the librarian] responsible for East Asia, typed in my name and within seconds found two of my books—National Sovereignty and Comparative Political Analysis—[in the holdings of] two other universities. Computers can talk to each other; as long as you know the other party’s computer number (Bignet ID) [sic], you can send content to the other party.

4. Many Cards – these “cards” are by no means the same sort of “cards” we have in China. Many cards have been used in China, like the [ration stamps] used for coal briquettes, eggs, daily consumer goods, vegetables, and so forth, which are all made of paper. The cards [in the US] are plastic with a tape-like strip on the back that can store information. There are countless such cards, like credit cards, cards for withdrawing cash, library cards, phone cards, identity cards, and so on. There are many different types of each sort of card.

New cards are still coming out; [for example], the newspaper [had an advertisement] about a new service offered by an airline—if you purchased a certain type of ticket then you could get first class [services] for free. This voucher is [an example] of this type of card. When I flew United Airlines from San Francisco to Iowa, the ticket was actually a card similar to this.

Cards and computer systems are linked; just by inserting the card into a computer you can do all kinds of things, like withdrawing money, depositing money, and checking bank balances. You can use a card and computer to handle these things and do not need to find a bank teller. When most working people take out their wallets there are a lot of cards in them. Wallets have even changed because there are so many cards—they now have several pockets specifically for holding cards. The wallets currently being made in China probably cannot be exported to the US or other Western countries since they do not have places to put cards.    

The above [items] constitute the “four Cs.” The important thing is the role [these items] play in social organization and management:

  1. Having so many cars makes the entire society a dynamic whole, with vehicles [enabling] not just the movement of people and objects, but of ideas and energy. 
  2. With phones everywhere, the entire society forms a system of information extending in all directions, and with the transmission of words comes the transmission of emotions and information.
  3.   Having computers everywhere [facilitates] highly integrated social management, and computerized information is an impartial form of management.
  4.   Having so many cards allows for the symbolization of social management, liberating people from the management of physical objects (people and things) and shifting to the management of symbols.

The development of the aforementioned four areas is crucial to a society, and constitutes a driving force and channel for political socialization and political communication. Progress in these areas makes a society’s systems, principles, and vitality increasingly rooted in the hearts of its people, increasingly realized in the material world, and increasingly solid.

These “Four Cs” have also brought many problems. Modernization has costs for humanity and nature.

  • Cars everywhere bring more pollution, more traffic accidents, and more waste.
  • Phones everywhere bring more disruptions and more eavesdropping.
  • Computers everywhere make society’s communication mechanisms more fragile. If a machine fails or a “virus” infects a computer, it will immediately have a widespread impact and sometimes a large quantity of data will be lost.
  • Cards everywhere bring more theft, more losses, and more forgeries and related crimes. 

How a society solidifies its institutions is a major issue. It is difficult to have solidified institutions if the institutions are [grounded] only in themselves. Only when the institutions are integrated into people’s lives can they be truly solidified.

1. The word yíhuò [疑惑] has a wider semantic range in Chinese than in English and it can mean “puzzle,” “question,” and “doubt” in addition to “uncertainty.” Thus this title could alternatively be translated as “the puzzle posed by America.” Likewise, our translation of the following passage ( “people begin feeling uncertain [疑惑] about this system, which makes them feel uncertain [疑惑] about their own system. In any case, America  has created this uncertainty  [疑惑] ”) could be alternatively translated as “people begin by feeling puzzled  [疑惑]  by  this system, which makes them puzzled  [疑惑]  by their own system. In any case, America has created this sense of puzzlement  [疑惑].”
2. The phrase “future shock” derives from the Chinese translation of a 1970 book of the same name that was written by American futurist Alvin Toffler. One of Toffler’s main theses is that the modern human feel increasing psychological unease because of the rapid technological changes that occur over his life. Both Future Shock and Toffler’s subsequent book,The Third Wave, gained widespread recognition in China, with Chinese premier Zhao Ziyang using Toffler’s arguments to justify party policy on scientific development. For a detailed discussion of Toffler’s reception in China and his influence on Chinese policy-making, see Julian Gewirtz, “The Futurists of Beijing: Alvin Toffler, Zhao Ziyang, and China’s ‘New Technological Revolution,’ 1979-91,” The Journal of Asian Studies 78, No. 1 (February 2019): 115-140. 
3. A heated debate on the merits and meaning of socialism and capitalism rocked the Chinese intellectual sphere in the 1980s as reformers sought to chart a new path for China’s future. For a longer discussion of these debates see Julian Gewirtz, Never Turn Back: China and the Forbidden History of the 1980s (Cambridge, Massachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2022) and Yan Sun, The Chinese Reassessment of Socialism, 1976-1992 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1995).  
4. The Red Guards of Honghu Lake is a 1961 film adapted from a modern Chinese opera, which in turn is loosely based on events that occurred in the CPC’s Honghu Base Area in the 1930s.
5. At the time of the PRC’s founding in 1949, Chairman Mao Zedong described imperialism, feudalism, and bureaucratic capitalism as the “three mountains” oppressing the Chinese people. The goal of the Chinese Communist Party was thus to liberate them. Mao originally used this analogy in the concluding speech at the Seventh National People’s Congress in June 1945. Alluding to the  ancient Chinese fable that told the story of a foolish old man who touched God’s heart with his determination to remove a mountain one bucket at a time, Mao said that “Today, two big mountains lie like a dead weight on the Chinese people. One is imperialism, the other is feudalism. The Chinese Communist Party has long made up its mind to dig them up. We must persevere and work unceasingly, and we, too, will touch God's heart.” Mao Zedong, “The Foolish Old Man who Removed the Mountains,” Selected Works of Mao Zedong, 11 June 1945.
6. Founded in 1968, the Club of Rome is an association of intellectuals and business leaders committed to the critical discussion of global issues, with a special focus on resource use and sustainability.  In 1972, the Club commissioned a report titled Limits to Growth that predicted, by means of computer simulation, that a sudden decline in both human population and industrial capacity was inevitable as humanity depleted natural stocks of  non-reusable resources like oil. The report received considerable attention in China and was a factor in the adoption of the one child policy in 1979. Susan Greenhalgh, “Missile Science, Population Science: The Origins of China’s One-Child Policy,” The China Quarterly, no. 182 (2005): 253–76.
7. The Ugly Chinese (1985) is a collection of lectures and essays written by Taiwanese novelist and philosopher Bo Yang. In these essays, Bo Yang engages in an extensive critique of Chinese culture, attributing various social ills at the time to fundamental cultural flaws that Bo believed typified the Chinese tradition, such as a tendency to fight amongst themselves and an inherent slavishness. The book gained instant popularity in Taiwan and Japan. It created huge fanfare when it was published in mainland China in 1986, but was subsequently banned in 1987. When Wang Huning published America Against America, Bo’s work was still banned in mainland China. 
8. Held in 1944 in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire in 1944, the Bretton Woods Conference gathered representatives from England and the United States to hammer out new rules to govern the international monetary and financial order after the conclusion of Second World War. 

一、不均匀的土地

1. 美国制造的疑惑

CA985 经过日本东京,然后长途飞越波涛汹涌的太平洋,抵达旧金山。由于飞机误点,与欧洲抵美和日本抵美的班机挤在一起。平日里十分宽敞的取行李及过海关的大厅显得十分拥挤,人声鼎沸。不论从何处来的人,都带着一种抵达美国的兴奋心情。

有一架飞机可能是从法国来的,许多人讲法语。排队过关,等了一个多小时,大家也象在中国一样发牢骚,等的时间太久。许多人都以为排队在西方应该是没有的,岂料一到美国就要排这么长时间的队。旧金山机场入境处的海关办理柜台分为三类:一是美国公民,二是非美国公民,三是新移民。左边前两个入口为美国公民的入口,人烟稀少,显出作为美国公民的优越。非美国公民,入关口人数最多,顿觉低人一等。

在入关处,有成群的日本人。现在世界上日本人到处旅游、经商,成群结队,显示了富国富民的实力。尽管不少外国人觉得日本人不可爱,但这种经济力量使人不得不刮目相看。据说,由于日本人太多,美国政府正在考虑给予日本人一种待遇:免签证。据统计,这样一来,美国海关入口处的办关速度可加快三分之一。但外交上需要同等待遇,日本人似乎不愿意免美国人的签证。

从日本民族的发展,人们至少可以得出两个结论:一是经济实力是决定一个民族国际地位和国际形象的基本力量;二是一个民族的国际地位和国际形象并不仅仅取决于经济实力。

美国是一个许多方面都相当发达的社会,任何人一到美国都会感觉到一种“未来的冲击”。因此,人们就会思考,一种人是想如何享受美国,另一种人是思考为什么有美国。

对后一个问题,不同的人有不同的回答。我问朋友。一位朋友答:一是资源异常丰富,二是鼓励人才竞争。另一位朋友补充说,至少人们刚到美国时是这样。我问 G,一位在斯坦福大学攻读博士学位的朋友,答:传统。

我觉得这是一个最抽象、但又最有价值的解释。任何社会的发展都不是纯经济的力量所致,也非短期内的行为调整可致。一个社会发展到这样“富甲天下”的程度,绝非人为强行操作的结果。

那么什么力量在主导这个社会中的人做出世代的奋斗呢?人们可以得出许多具体的概念,如创新、奋斗、勤俭等。最为重要的是,这些东西能否成为一种文化基因,一种传统。不论什么有利于社会发展的因素,如果不是构成传统,便不可能根深蒂固地发生作用。

任何一种好的因素要产生作用,必须有几代人的努力。美国人整天讲创新,但实际上传统势力极强。中国人也整天讲创新,结果是传统屡起屡伏。有人言,美国人讲创新,并不在于反对传统。美国人的传统和创新如同一物,今日的传统只不过是三、五十年前的创新。中国人讲创新意在反传统。然而,一、二千年的传统却又不易反掉。

今天,人们大量涌入美国,便我们不能不深长思之。出来前几天,国内理论界正热烈讨论一个主题,就是对社会主义和资本主义的再认识。这个问题之所以目前在国内引起人们的讨论,基本原因在于社会主义搞了几十年,在经济等方面却不如资本主义。马克思在一百五十年前论证的社会发展程式究竟是否符合人类历史发展的进程?社会主义是否能最终战胜资本主义?这是当人的疑惑。想起在飞往美国的波音 747 飞机上放的电影《洪湖赤卫队》。中国人推翻了长期以来压在他们身上的三座大山,但这有没有确保中国社会发展的方向?像中国革命这样一场以农村包围城市为主,以农村人口为主要力量的革命,对一个社会的发展究竟会会产生什么样的影响?的确值得思考。

今日美国之发展,以其经济繁荣,其政治过程、其生活方式、其国际地位,在当今世界上制造了一大大的疑惑。处于发达国家中的人带有这压根的疑惑:人类的科技和物质生活发展到这一步。是否违背了人的本性?是否会导致地球资源的枯竭?是否会最终致使人类走向毁灭?罗马俱乐部的同仁们对此忧心忡忡,长呼短吁。

处于发展中国家的人却带着截然不同的疑惑:是什么力量创造了如此令人眼花繚乱的物质文明?什么体制在管理和智力上为这种发展创造了良好的条件?这样一个境界是偶然的抑或必然的?人们开始怀疑这种体制,人们开始怀疑自己的体制。无论怎么说,美国都制造了一种疑惑。

走进美国,便走进了这种疑惑。没有走进美国,也会陷入这种疑惑。一个奇怪的现象是:走入疑惑易,走出疑惑难。

2.曼哈顿和唐人街

飞机抵达纽约上空。下来后,取了行李。人都走光了,还不见约定来接人的朋友的影子,心里紧张。听朋友介绍,一到纽约,会觉得一种恐怖感,这里犯罪率极高。生怕遭遇上歹徒,因为颇为忐忑不安。半个小时后,朋友前来,如释重负。

出机场后,直接来到联合国大厦。联合国大厦的建筑雄伟堂皇。我们去了安全理事会,拍了照。有前往联合国大会会场,找到中国代表团的席位,坐上去拍了一张照片。又在联合国讲台上各人照了一张发表演说的照片。在联合国参观时,看到各国送的精美而贵重的礼品,如中国的象牙雕塑,泰国的御船,苏联送的图画等等。这表明这个世界上的公民都想在联合国得到一种声誉,但现实生活中又有多少国家信奉联合国的原则呢?这似乎与一个人的团体一样,每个人都想加入它,并显示自己对它的热爱,但实际上处处违背它。

当今世界,利益多元化,意识形态壁垒森严,各种冲突层出不穷,联合国的确没有起到它应有的作用。但是,联合国也起了不可低估的作用,尤其是在社会经济文化发展方面。在消弭冲突方面,两伊停火也算是个杰出的例子。

今天的世界仍然是一个需要人类加以控制的世界。望着联合国大厦前化剑为犁的雕像,思索人们该用什么方法来熔化利剑。过去的历史表明,许多认为战火也是一种手段,结果是以剑化剑,总不成犁。

纽约的唐人街,觉得风格颇为熟悉。比起其他地方显得稍微脏乱一些。据说唐人街是一块复杂的地区,中国人特有的现象在这里都有。令人想起柏杨的“丑陋的中国人”。没有在唐人街多走,从外表看看,做小本生意的很多。在这块熙熙攘攘的地段,望着满街写满中国字的找牌,令人回想起遥远的中国。这块地方与曼哈顿区的其他地段形成鲜明的对照。一个令人想起中国文化,一个告诉人们西方文化。

在美国,畅谈美国和中国,几乎是所有在美国的中国学者和留学生的永恒话题。在这个永恒的话题中,又有两个永恒的中心:经济发展和政治民主。美国在本世纪取得的经济成就和科技进步,是有目共睹的,当今世界还没有哪个国家能超越它。日本人虽然咄咄逼人,来势凶猛,后来居上,但除了经济上的竞争实力之外,在军事、文化、资源等领域还是不能与美国相提并论。

需要加以分析的是,美国的经济发展对其政治发展究竟起了什么作用。在这两个方面,美国皆为世界所瞩目。而中国在这两个方面欠账太多。因而,这两个方面都成为现代化过程中永恒的话题。中国的经济现代化如何实现?最根本问题是,在公有制条件下能否完成经济现代化的过程?当今世界上发达国家大都不是公有制。这一现实,给人们最大的思维挑战。

其次是政治民主如何发展?与经济同步,还是不同步?这两大课题成了今年来讨论的热点。

一种说法是,没有政治民主,经济现代化不可能达到;反驳的一件事,香港、台湾、新加坡、南朝鲜在经济起飞阶段并没有政治民主,香港是殖民统治,台湾是一党专政,南朝鲜是军人干政。另一种说法是,经济发展了,政治民主就有了条件,例子是新兴工业地区和国家的民主化运动;反驳的意见也很强烈:西方发达国家在资产阶级革命后,经济并不算发达,远不能和今天一些发展中国家的经济实力相比,但民主共和制的体制基本建立了。

这个问题,大约是中国理论界必须深长思之的。经济发展只是一种现象,集中或者民主都有可能促进或者抑制经济发展,需要关心的是,在经济发展后社会中的哪些变化会有利于发展政治民主。

由于经济不发展,发展中国家在经济上就不能不依赖发达国家。主要是在高科技、设备、精密仪器等方面。不过也要视各个国家的发展阶段不同,如非洲国家,就主要需要食品以维持基本生存条件。不论需要什么,结果形成了一种特殊的交换机制:发展中国家要拿出最好的东西与发达国家交换。于是发展中国家的人民无法享受本国生产的最优产品,甚至是第二等产品也不能享受。因为第二等产品要供来到这些国家的外国人消费。

美国市场上各国各地区的产品都有,中国、台湾、南朝鲜、日本、牙买加、墨西哥等。世界各国各地区的精华产品都涌向美国市场,以换取美元。由于大家都想取得美元,形成强大的竞争,产品的质量很高,价格却很低。这种状况造成美国市场空前的繁荣。这是市场机制造成的结果,也是二次大战后布雷顿森林会议确定的美元的世界地位给美国带来的好处。当然,外国的产品大批进入美国,冲击美国本身的工业,造成工厂倒闭,失业增加,这一点也不能不看到,所以自由贸易和保护主义这两大势力始终争斗不休。

3. 四个 C 多

在美国生活不久之后,发现这个社会有几样东西特别多。透过这些东西的表面现象,可以发现社会动态组织的一些基本条件。先说这四多。

1. 车多(Car)大小城市,高速公路和乡村公路上时时都跑着成串的汽车。

车的形状千姿百态,各种各样的型号应有尽有。在华盛顿时,英国 Essex 大学的副校长安东尼·金(Antony King)曾指着街上形形色色的车对我说:“十年前,我在美国看到的大部分车都是美国制造的,如今各式各样的车都有,日本车尤其多。”美日之间的汽车战已经是众所周知。日本汽车之所以能打入美国市场,一个重要的原因是,美国汽车市场实在是太大,汽车对于个人实在太重要。

在美国没有汽车就像没有腿。高速公路系统十分发达,一般左右各三个通道。分高、中、慢三档,有的地方左右各有七个车车道。上面日夜不停地跑着各种汽车。一般家庭都有汽车,许多家庭不止一辆。在斯坦福大学我曾去一位教授家,共有三辆车。美国的私人拥有汽车总数之大在世界上也是屈指可数的。

2. 电话多(Call)在美国,走到哪里都可以看到电话。所有的办公室和家庭都有电话。家庭的电话还有一个到几个分机。在公共场所,都有自动电话机,投入一定数目的硬币就可以打。现在又推出一种电话卡电话机,打电话时只要将卡塞入电话机就可以打。机场里,有一排排这种自动电话。在旅馆里也设置了很多这类电话。我在华盛顿时住过 Sheraton 和 Hilton 饭店,楼下大厅里都有成排的自动电话。在大学中,公共场所也设有这类电话,如图书馆、饭堂、会场、计算机中心、语言中心等。

不仅电话多,而且灵捷方便。无论打到哪里,都很迅速。国内长途电话,拿起话筒拨号,最多半分钟便可接通。打到世界各地,也不费事,拿起电话来拨就行。人们办事地一大特点是利用电话,很多事情均靠电话来解决,包括谈恋爱。有不少家长对我说,子女打电话谈恋爱,一打两个小时,其他电话打不进来,费用颇巨。自然,电话系统发达的社会功能不在这里,可以谈恋爱,也可以谈别的。

3. 电脑多(Computer)电脑之多,也是一大特色。无论走到哪里,都可以看到与你打交道的人要用电脑。参观国家安全委员会时,发现里面的人都使用电脑。大学教授办公室或家里都有电脑。在旅馆住,整个管理是电脑化的。在运输部版驾驶执照,都要输入电脑。在商店和饭堂购物,付账是电脑化的。在图书馆检索,资料检索是电脑化的。到银行存钱,其系统是电脑化的。工厂生产、政府办公、军队作战、飞机上天等等,都大量使用电脑。

电脑使一切事物变得迅速、准确、易查。电脑还可并入全国性或世界性的网络。我在耶鲁大学参观图书馆时,他们东亚负责人马先生马上打入我的名字,几秒钟便查出在另外两所大学有我的《国家主权》和《比较政治分析》两书。电脑还可以相互通话,只要知道对方的电脑号码(Bignet ID),就可以输入想告诉对方的内容。

4.  卡多(Card)这里的“卡”绝不是中国的“卡”的概念,中国有过一些卡,如煤球卡、蛋卡、日用品卡、菜卡等,都是纸做的卡。这里讲的卡是一种塑料质地的卡,背后有一条磁带式的东西,可以存储信息。此类卡,多得不胜枚举,如信用卡,取钱卡,借书卡,电话卡,身份卡……每一种卡又有不同种类。

新的卡还在不断涌现,报纸上曾经刊登一则消息说,一家航空公司推出一项新的服务,购一定的票可以免费享受头等舱的待遇,凭证是一张这样的卡。我从旧金山到爱荷华,坐联合航空公司的飞机,机票其实就是一张类似于这样的卡。

卡和电脑联系在一起,只要把卡插入一定的电脑,就可以办成有关的事情,如:取钱、存钱、查自己的存款数目,都可用卡和电脑来解决,不必找银行职员。差不多有工作的人拿出皮夹子,里面都有一大堆卡。由于卡多,皮夹子也变革了,里面有数个专门用来放卡的袋子。中国现在做的皮夹子,恐怕是不能出口到美国或者其他西方国家,因为没有放卡的地方。

以上将的是“四个 C 多”的现象。重要是它们在社会组织和社会管理中起的作用:

  1. 车多,使整个社会构成一个动态的整体,随着车辆运动的不仅有人和物品,还有思想、观念和精神;
  2. 电话多,使整个社会构成四通八达的信息系统,语言的传递伴随着情感、信息的传递;
  3. 电脑多,使整个社会管理的一体化达到很高的程度,电脑信息是一种公平的管理;
  4. 卡多,使整个社会的管理符号化,使人们对实物(人和物)的管理中解放出来,变成符号管理。

以上四个方面的发展对一个社会至关重要,其中这些方面是政治社会化,政治沟通的一股动力,一条渠道。这些方面的进展,使一个社会的制度、原则和精神日益深入人心,日益物质化,日益巩固。

“四个 C 多”带来的问题也不少,现代化是要人类社会和自然界付出代价的。

  • 车多——污染多,交通事故多,浪费多;
  • 电话多——干扰、窃听多;
  • 电脑多——社会通讯系统变得脆弱,一旦机器出故障,或有“病毒”侵入电脑,马上波及一大片,有时大批的数据资料荡然无存;
  • 卡多——失窃多,报失多,伪造犯罪多。

一个社会怎样巩固自己的制度是重大问题。单从制度着手,难得有牢固的制度,只有把制度真正注入到民众生活中去,才是真正的巩固。

Chapter One: A Heterogeneous Land

1. Uncertainty1 Created by America

After passing through Tokyo and traversing over the surging waves of the vast Pacific, Flight CA985 landed in San Francisco. Because of flight delays, the airport was crowded with flights arriving from Europe and Japan. The usually spacious baggage pickup area and customs clearance hall was crowded and bustling with people. No matter where they came from there was a sense of excitement about arriving in America.

One flight had probably arrived from France, since many people were speaking French. I lined up to go through customs and waited over an hour; everyone was complaining, like people back in China, about the wait taking too long. Many people think that there are not any lines in the West, so they do not expect to have to wait for such a long time when they arrive in the United States. The customs processing area at the San Francisco Airport was divided into three areas: the first for US citizens, the second for non-US citizens, and the third for new immigrants. The first two entrances on the left were for US citizens; these were not crowded, clearly showing the advantage of being an American. Non-US citizens—the largest number of people arriving—immediately felt inferior.

There were groups of Japanese people at the immigration gate. Nowadays, large numbers of Japanese people travel and do business all over the world, showing the strength of a wealthy country and people. Although many foreigners do not like Japanese people, they cannot help but respect them because of Japan’s economic power. It’s been said that the US government is considering granting Japanese people special treatment because there are so many of them: visa waiver status. Based on statistics, this would improve customs processing times by one-third. But diplomacy requires reciprocity, and the Japanese [government] does not seem willing to grant Americans visa waivers.

One can draw at least two conclusions from the Japanese nation’s development: first, economic strength is the basis for determining a nation’s international status and international image; second, a nation’s international status and international image do not depend on economic strength alone.   

The United States is a very developed society in many respects. Anyone who comes to the US will feel a sort of “future shock.”2 [In this situation], one type of person will just think about how they can enjoy being in America; another type of person will ponder why there is an America.

Different people have different answers to the latter question. I asked some friends; one answered: first, [the United States] is extremely rich in resources, and second, it encourages competition among talented people. Another friend added that at least people [feel this way] when they first come to America. I also asked G, a friend studying for a PhD at Stanford. He answered “tradition.”

I think this is the most abstract but also the most valuable explanation. The development of any society is not purely a result of economic factors, nor is it caused by short-term adjustments in behavior. A society developing into the “richest in the world” is definitely not an outcome that can just be forced or manipulated into place by willful human effort. 

So, what forces have driven people in this society to strive for generations [to reach this level of success]? Many specific concepts to explain this have been suggested, such as innovation, work ethic, industriousness, and thrift. But what is most important is whether these forces can become a cultural gene: a tradition. Regardless of the factors that are conducive to social development, if these factors do not become a tradition, they will not become deeply rooted in a society.

It takes the efforts of several generations for factors like this to have an effect on a society. Americans talk constantly about innovation and, in reality, the American tradition [of innovation] is very strong. The Chinese also talk constantly about innovation, but [China’s] tradition [of innovation] has had its ups and downs. Some people say that, to Americans, innovation is not in conflict with tradition; to Americans, tradition and innovation are the same thing, since traditions that exist today were innovations only thirty or fifty years ago. To Chinese people, the idea of innovation is in opposition to tradition, and it is not easy to counteract thousands of years of tradition.       

Nowadays, many people flood to the US, and [this phenomenon] deserves deep reflection. A heated discussion has emerged among Chinese intellectuals recently on the topic of re-evaluating socialism and capitalism.3 The main reason this topic is currently being discussed in China is because socialism has been in place now for several decades but it does not measure up to capitalism in areas like the economy. Is the social development model demonstrated by Marx a hundred and fifty years ago compatible with the historical development of mankind? Can socialism ultimately triumph over capitalism? This is what people are uncertain about. This is like the movie Red Guards of Honghu Lake, which was shown on the Boeing 747 on my flight to the United States.4 The Chinese people overturned the “three mountains” of imperialism, feudalism, and bureaucratic capitalism, which had long burdened them, but did this guarantee the development of Chinese society?5 What impact do revolutions similar to the Chinese revolution, where rural areas overtook cities as the center [of society] and the rural population became the driving force [in society], have on the development of societies? It is certainly worth considering.   

Today, America’s development, with its economic prosperity, political processes, lifestyle, and international status, has sown a lot of uncertainty in the world. People in developed countries have this fundamental concern: human science and technology and material life have developed up to this stage. Is this [stage] contrary to human nature? Will it cause the depletion of the earth’s resources? Will it ultimately lead to the destruction of mankind? Members of the Club of Rome are deeply concerned about this and have [long voiced concern over this issue].6

However, people in developing countries have a completely different set of [questions]: what forces created such an awe-inspiring material civilization? What administrative and intellectual systems created the conditions for this development? Is such an [end-state] the result of chance, or was it a historic inevitability? People begin feeling uncertain about this system, which makes them feel uncertain about their own system. In any case, America  has created this uncertainty.   

By entering the United States, one enters this [state of] uncertainty. Even without going to America you will still succumb to it. It is a strange phenomenon. It is easy to enter a state of uncertainty but hard to get out of it. 

2. Manhattan and Chinatown

The plane landed in New York. After arriving I picked up my luggage. Everyone [from the flight] had gone, but there was still no trace of the friend who had agreed to pick me up so I was really nervous. I’d heard from a friend that it might be a bit scary when you arrive in New York, [since] the crime rate is extremely high. I feared I would run into criminals and was really uneasy. Half an hour later my friend arrived—I was so relieved.

We left the airport and went directly to the United Nations [headquarters]. The architecture was imposing and stately. We went to the Security Council [meeting venue] and took pictures. We went to the UN General Assembly meeting venue, found the seat of the Chinese UN Representative, sat in it and took a photo. We also took a photo of each of us giving a speech at the UN podium. While we were visiting the UN we saw the beautiful and valuable gifts from different countries, like ivory sculptures from China, royal ships from Thailand, and drawings from the Soviet Union. These gifts show that citizens of this world all want to [be respected] in the UN, but how many countries actually believe in the principles of the UN? It seems like everyone wants to join and show their love for it, but in reality, they constantly violate [what it stands for].

In today’s world, where there are diverse interests, strict ideological boundaries, and conflicts of all kinds constantly emerging, the UN has not served the purpose that it should serve. However, the UN still plays a role that cannot be underestimated, especially in the areas of socioeconomic and cultural development. With respect to [resolving] conflicts, the Iran-Iraq ceasefire is an outstanding example.

Today’s world is a world that still requires [conscious] human control. Looking at the statue in front of the UN building, where swords are turned into plowshares, I thought about what methods people should use [to resolve conflicts]. History shows that many people believe war is necessary, which results in swords being used as swords, not as plowshares. 

The atmosphere was familiar In New York’s Chinatown. It seemed a bit more rundown than other areas. It is said that Chinatown is a complex area and that it has everything to give it a characteristically Chinese appearance. It makes people think of Bo Yang’s The Ugly Chinese.7 I didn’t [spend much time] in Chinatown, but [from what I have seen] there are a lot of small businesses. Gazing at signs with Chinese characters on them over the streets in this bustling area reminds one of far-away China. This area stands in stark contrast to the rest of Manhattan. One place brings to mind Chinese culture; the other  informs one about Western culture.    

The United States and China are an eternal topic of conversation for nearly all Chinese scholars and foreign students in America. There are two eternal centers to this eternal topic: economic development and political democracy. The economic achievements and technological progress made by the US in this century are obvious to all; today no country in the world can surpass them. The Japanese are overbearing, fierce, and ascendant, but with the exception of their economic competitiveness they still cannot compare to the US in areas like military [power], culture, and natural resources. 

What needs to be analyzed is the role that America’s economic development has played in its political development. The United States holds the world’s attention in these two areas, whereas China is too lacking in them. Therefore, these two areas have become eternal topics in the modernization process. How can China’s economic modernization be realized? The most fundamental question is, can the process of economic modernization be achieved under public [state] ownership? Most developed countries in the world today do not have public [state] ownership. This reality poses the largest [intellectual] challenge to people.

Second, how does political democracy develop? Does it happen along with economic [modernization] or out of sync with it? These two major subjects have become hot topics of discussion this year.    

One argument is that economic modernization cannot be achieved without political democracy. The cases of Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea refute this, as they did not have political democracy when their economies really took off. Hong Kong was under colonial rule, Taiwan was under a one-party dictatorship, and South Korea was run by the military.  Another argument is that economic development will [create] the conditions for political democracy, an example being the democratization movements in newly-industrializing regions and countries. The counterargument to this is also very strong: after developed Western nations went through the bourgeois revolution, their economies were still not considered developed. Their economies were far from comparable to the economic strength of some of today’s developing countries, but the foundations for democratic systems were still established. 

This issue is probably something that theoretical circles in China should [focus on]. Economic development is just a phenomenon; centralization or democracy may spur or inhibit economic development, but the central concern needs to be whether the social changes that occur during the process of economic development are advantageous for the development of political democracy.

Without economic development, developing countries will have to depend on developed countries economically—primarily in areas like technology, equipment, and precision instrumentation. However, the different development stages of each country also have to be considered. For example, African countries primarily need food to sustain basic living conditions. Regardless of what their needs are, the result is the formation of a special exchange mechanism: developing countries need to use their best products in [market] exchanges with developed countries. As a result, people in developing countries have no way to partake in the best products produced in their own countries, or even the second-best products, as these products are consumed by foreigners who come to these developing countries.     

The US market has products from every country and region in the world, including China, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Jamaica, and Mexico. The best products from all countries and regions in the world [are drawn to] the US market in exchange for US dollars. Since everyone wants US dollars there is intense competition, so product quality is very high and prices are very low. This situation has created the unprecedented prosperity of the US market. This is the result of market mechanisms as well as a benefit the United States has enjoyed since the US dollar’s international status [as a global reserve currency] was determined at the Bretton Woods Conference after World War II.8 Of course, many foreign products have entered the United States and have challenged American domestic industries, causing factory closures and unemployment—this cannot be ignored. Therefore, the two major forces of free trade and protectionism are always at odds.

3. “The Four Cs”

After living in the United States for just a short time, I’ve [observed that there are] several things that are particularly ubiquitous in American society. By looking at this outer veneer, one can discover some fundamental characteristics of the societal dynamics operating in the United States. Four are discussed [below]: 

1. Many Cars – there are always clusters of cars driving in large and small cities, on highways and rural roads. Cars come in all shapes, sizes, and models.

When I was in Washington, Antony King, the Vice-Chancellor of the University of Essex in the UK, pointed to the various cars in the street and said to me: “Ten years ago, most of the cars I saw in the United States were made in the United States. Nowadays, there are all kinds of cars, especially Japanese cars.” The car war between the United States and Japan is [well underway]. Japanese cars have made such inroads in the American market primarily because of how large the American car market is and how important cars are to individual lives.

In the United States not having a car is like not having legs. The highway system is very well-developed, usually with three lanes on the left and the right. The lanes are divided by speed—fast, medium, and slow—and in some places there are seven lanes on both the left and right. All kinds of cars are driving day and night. Most families have a car, and many families have more than one. At Stanford University I once went to a professor’s house and [saw] there were three cars. The United States is one of the very few countries in the world with such a large number of privately-owned cars.   

2. Many Calls – In the United States there are phones everywhere you go. All offices and homes have phones. Some households even have several phones. All public spaces have [pay] phones where you can make calls by putting in a certain number of coins. Now there are also phone cards—all you have to do to make a call is insert the card into the phone. In airports there are rows of pay phones; there are also pay phones in hotels. When I was in Washington I stayed at the Sheraton and Hilton hotels, and each hotel had rows of pay phones in the lobby. Universities also have pay phones in public areas like libraries, dining halls, conference venues, computer centers, and language centers.

Not only are phones everywhere, but they’re also efficient and convenient; [the connection] is always very fast, regardless of where you are calling. To make domestic long-distance calls, you just pick up the phone and dial—you can get through in half a minute at most. Calling anywhere in the world is easy, you just pick up the phone and dial. Using the telephone is a big part of everyday life, including dating and falling in love. Many [American] parents told me that their sons and daughters make calls to their sweethearts that sometimes last for two hours; they monopolize the phone line so no other calls can come in, and it costs a lot of money.  Naturally a society with a well-developed telephone system [wouldn’t necessarily have this problem]—you can use phones for romance or to talk about other things.         

3.  Many Computers – the large number of computers is another major characteristic [of American society]. No matter where you go, you will see people using computers. When I visited the National Security Council, I noticed that everyone there used computers. College professors have computers in their offices or at home. At hotels the entire management system is computerized. Drivers licenses issued by the Department of Transportation [sic] must be entered into a computer. Payments in stores and restaurants are computerized. Records retrieval in libraries is computerized. The system for depositing money in a bank is computerized. Factory production, government offices, military operations, flights, etc. all use computers extensively.

Computers make everything fast, accurate, and easy to reference. Computers can also be integrated into national or international networks. When I visited the Yale University library, Mr. Ma, [the librarian] responsible for East Asia, typed in my name and within seconds found two of my books—National Sovereignty and Comparative Political Analysis—[in the holdings of] two other universities. Computers can talk to each other; as long as you know the other party’s computer number (Bignet ID) [sic], you can send content to the other party.

4. Many Cards – these “cards” are by no means the same sort of “cards” we have in China. Many cards have been used in China, like the [ration stamps] used for coal briquettes, eggs, daily consumer goods, vegetables, and so forth, which are all made of paper. The cards [in the US] are plastic with a tape-like strip on the back that can store information. There are countless such cards, like credit cards, cards for withdrawing cash, library cards, phone cards, identity cards, and so on. There are many different types of each sort of card.

New cards are still coming out; [for example], the newspaper [had an advertisement] about a new service offered by an airline—if you purchased a certain type of ticket then you could get first class [services] for free. This voucher is [an example] of this type of card. When I flew United Airlines from San Francisco to Iowa, the ticket was actually a card similar to this.

Cards and computer systems are linked; just by inserting the card into a computer you can do all kinds of things, like withdrawing money, depositing money, and checking bank balances. You can use a card and computer to handle these things and do not need to find a bank teller. When most working people take out their wallets there are a lot of cards in them. Wallets have even changed because there are so many cards—they now have several pockets specifically for holding cards. The wallets currently being made in China probably cannot be exported to the US or other Western countries since they do not have places to put cards.    

The above [items] constitute the “four Cs.” The important thing is the role [these items] play in social organization and management:

  1. Having so many cars makes the entire society a dynamic whole, with vehicles [enabling] not just the movement of people and objects, but of ideas and energy. 
  2. With phones everywhere, the entire society forms a system of information extending in all directions, and with the transmission of words comes the transmission of emotions and information.
  3.   Having computers everywhere [facilitates] highly integrated social management, and computerized information is an impartial form of management.
  4.   Having so many cards allows for the symbolization of social management, liberating people from the management of physical objects (people and things) and shifting to the management of symbols.

The development of the aforementioned four areas is crucial to a society, and constitutes a driving force and channel for political socialization and political communication. Progress in these areas makes a society’s systems, principles, and vitality increasingly rooted in the hearts of its people, increasingly realized in the material world, and increasingly solid.

These “Four Cs” have also brought many problems. Modernization has costs for humanity and nature.

  • Cars everywhere bring more pollution, more traffic accidents, and more waste.
  • Phones everywhere bring more disruptions and more eavesdropping.
  • Computers everywhere make society’s communication mechanisms more fragile. If a machine fails or a “virus” infects a computer, it will immediately have a widespread impact and sometimes a large quantity of data will be lost.
  • Cards everywhere bring more theft, more losses, and more forgeries and related crimes. 

How a society solidifies its institutions is a major issue. It is difficult to have solidified institutions if the institutions are [grounded] only in themselves. Only when the institutions are integrated into people’s lives can they be truly solidified.

1. The word yíhuò [疑惑] has a wider semantic range in Chinese than in English and it can mean “puzzle,” “question,” and “doubt” in addition to “uncertainty.” Thus this title could alternatively be translated as “the puzzle posed by America.” Likewise, our translation of the following passage ( “people begin feeling uncertain [疑惑] about this system, which makes them feel uncertain [疑惑] about their own system. In any case, America  has created this uncertainty  [疑惑] ”) could be alternatively translated as “people begin by feeling puzzled  [疑惑]  by  this system, which makes them puzzled  [疑惑]  by their own system. In any case, America has created this sense of puzzlement  [疑惑].”
2. The phrase “future shock” derives from the Chinese translation of a 1970 book of the same name that was written by American futurist Alvin Toffler. One of Toffler’s main theses is that the modern human feel increasing psychological unease because of the rapid technological changes that occur over his life. Both Future Shock and Toffler’s subsequent book,The Third Wave, gained widespread recognition in China, with Chinese premier Zhao Ziyang using Toffler’s arguments to justify party policy on scientific development. For a detailed discussion of Toffler’s reception in China and his influence on Chinese policy-making, see Julian Gewirtz, “The Futurists of Beijing: Alvin Toffler, Zhao Ziyang, and China’s ‘New Technological Revolution,’ 1979-91,” The Journal of Asian Studies 78, No. 1 (February 2019): 115-140. 
3. A heated debate on the merits and meaning of socialism and capitalism rocked the Chinese intellectual sphere in the 1980s as reformers sought to chart a new path for China’s future. For a longer discussion of these debates see Julian Gewirtz, Never Turn Back: China and the Forbidden History of the 1980s (Cambridge, Massachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2022) and Yan Sun, The Chinese Reassessment of Socialism, 1976-1992 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1995).  
4. The Red Guards of Honghu Lake is a 1961 film adapted from a modern Chinese opera, which in turn is loosely based on events that occurred in the CPC’s Honghu Base Area in the 1930s.
5. At the time of the PRC’s founding in 1949, Chairman Mao Zedong described imperialism, feudalism, and bureaucratic capitalism as the “three mountains” oppressing the Chinese people. The goal of the Chinese Communist Party was thus to liberate them. Mao originally used this analogy in the concluding speech at the Seventh National People’s Congress in June 1945. Alluding to the  ancient Chinese fable that told the story of a foolish old man who touched God’s heart with his determination to remove a mountain one bucket at a time, Mao said that “Today, two big mountains lie like a dead weight on the Chinese people. One is imperialism, the other is feudalism. The Chinese Communist Party has long made up its mind to dig them up. We must persevere and work unceasingly, and we, too, will touch God's heart.” Mao Zedong, “The Foolish Old Man who Removed the Mountains,” Selected Works of Mao Zedong, 11 June 1945.
6. Founded in 1968, the Club of Rome is an association of intellectuals and business leaders committed to the critical discussion of global issues, with a special focus on resource use and sustainability.  In 1972, the Club commissioned a report titled Limits to Growth that predicted, by means of computer simulation, that a sudden decline in both human population and industrial capacity was inevitable as humanity depleted natural stocks of  non-reusable resources like oil. The report received considerable attention in China and was a factor in the adoption of the one child policy in 1979. Susan Greenhalgh, “Missile Science, Population Science: The Origins of China’s One-Child Policy,” The China Quarterly, no. 182 (2005): 253–76.
7. The Ugly Chinese (1985) is a collection of lectures and essays written by Taiwanese novelist and philosopher Bo Yang. In these essays, Bo Yang engages in an extensive critique of Chinese culture, attributing various social ills at the time to fundamental cultural flaws that Bo believed typified the Chinese tradition, such as a tendency to fight amongst themselves and an inherent slavishness. The book gained instant popularity in Taiwan and Japan. It created huge fanfare when it was published in mainland China in 1986, but was subsequently banned in 1987. When Wang Huning published America Against America, Bo’s work was still banned in mainland China. 
8. Held in 1944 in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire in 1944, the Bretton Woods Conference gathered representatives from England and the United States to hammer out new rules to govern the international monetary and financial order after the conclusion of Second World War. 

Cite This Article

Wang Huning. “Uncertainty Created by America.” An excerpt from America Against America. Translated by Leah Holder. San Francisco: Center for Strategic Translation, 2023.

Originally published in Wang Huning 王沪宁, Meiguo Fandui Meiguo 美国反对美国 [America Against America]. Shanghai: Shanghai Wenyi Chuban She 上海文艺出版社 [Shanghai Humanities Publishing Co.], 1991. 1-9.

Related Articles

Uncertainty Created by America

美国制造的疑惑

Author
Wang Huning
王沪宁
original publication
America Against America
美国反对美国
publication date
January 1, 1991
Translator
Leah Holder
Translation date
October 28, 2023

Introduction

Note: The following translation is taken from Politburo Standing Committee member Wang Huning’s 1991 book, America Against America. It is one of several excerpts of this book translated by the Center for Strategic Translation. A general introduction to the book, as well as links to the other excerpts, can be found here.

Wang Huning’s book America Against America has been described as “a book on U.S. decline.”  Readers who parse through Wang’s book in the 2020s, aware that relations between China and the United States will plunge downward as Wang rises to the top of China’s political system, will search for passages that presage the present crisis. Thus the most famous and most quoted section of Wang’s book is its least typical: a concluding chapter that catalogs the ills of American life. There Wang indicts the America of 1988 for its insoluble racial tensions, climbing crime rates, widespread drug use, and insufferable political correctness. He concludes this list with the great boogeyman of the late 1980s: a booming Japanese economy. Given its many social problems, Wang doubts that America has the social cohesion needed to compete with a rising Asian power.

These gloomy prophecies were neither especially original at the time they were delivered nor especially accurate in hindsight. Were they the crowning conclusions of a sustained, book length argument they would not speak well for the wisdom or insight of Wang Huning. However, America Against America’s most cited chapter is not its most representative. The dominant emotion of America Against America is a restless curiosity. Wang cannot help himself from traveling to, reading about, and talking with people from as many parts of the United States as possible. In America Against America Wang presents himself as amused, bemused, shocked, and awe-struck with the society he encounters on these travels.

This is an intellectual journey with no clear end point: America Against America presents far more questions than it does answers. The excerpt translated below—the opening sections of America Against America’s first chapter—introduces the question most central to Wang’s work.

Arriving from an undeveloped country whose economic productivity was as dependent on animals as electricity, Wang is shocked by what he finds when his plane touches down in New York. Countless American cars rocket by. Telephones ring in every American home. The soft glow of the computer screen lights up every American office place. These wondrous transportation and communication technologies form an inescapable web that makes all of American society “a dynamic whole.” The United States, Wang observes, is a “system of information extending in all directions” that enables “not just the movement of people and objects, but of ideas and energy.”

In face of this dazzling display of human ingenuity, Wang concludes that “one type of person will just think about how they can enjoy being in America; another type of person will ponder why there is an America.” For travelers from the third world the puzzle posed by American life is especially acute. The minds of these travelers cannot help but circle endlessly through the same set of questions: “What forces created such an awe-inspiring material civilization? What administrative and intellectual systems created the conditions for this development? Is such an end-state the result of chance, or was it a historic inevitability?”

Wang does not present these questions as having mere academic or intellectual interest. They come with a psychological cost: to visit America is to be thrust into a state of nagging “uncertainty” [疑惑]. As visitors ponder American technology they “begin feeling uncertain about [the American] system, which makes them feel uncertain about their own system… By entering the United States, one enters this [state of] uncertainty. Even without going to America you will still succumb to it. It is a strange phenomenon. It is easy to enter a state of uncertainty but hard to get out of it.”

Wang’s focus may surprise his American readers. Americans often think that constitutionalism, liberal democracy, and universal truths about the equality of man are the United States’ most significant gift to humankind. But from the start of the 20th century to its close, foreigners in the mold of Wang Huning have honored the United States as the land of Edison, not the land of Jefferson. They understand that it was American entrepreneurs, scientists, and generals who forged the industrial civilization humanity now calls home. All the key pieces of this vast complex—be it electrification or assembly lines, semiconductors or skyscrapers, modern air travel or modern air conditioning—were invented or commercialized in the United States.

It is this America, the America that pioneered the greatest transformation the human species has experienced since foragers began farming 12,000 years ago, that so awed the young Wang Huning. He gazed at the cityscapes and spaceports of the United States with envy—and uncertainty. America Against America is his uncertain meditation on how the United States achieved these feats, and, by extension, what China might do to one day match them.

—THE EDITORS

1. Bloomberg News, “A $2,500 Book on U.S. Decline Is Suddenly a Must-Read in China,” Bloomberg, 21 January 2021.
2. Wang Huning 王沪宁, Meiguo Fandui Meiguo 美国反对美国 [America Against America] (Shanghai: Shanghai Wenyi Chuban She 上海文艺出版社 [Shanghai Humanities Publishing Co.], 1991), 344-390.

Chapter One: A Heterogeneous Land

1. Uncertainty1 Created by America

After passing through Tokyo and traversing over the surging waves of the vast Pacific, Flight CA985 landed in San Francisco. Because of flight delays, the airport was crowded with flights arriving from Europe and Japan. The usually spacious baggage pickup area and customs clearance hall was crowded and bustling with people. No matter where they came from there was a sense of excitement about arriving in America.

One flight had probably arrived from France, since many people were speaking French. I lined up to go through customs and waited over an hour; everyone was complaining, like people back in China, about the wait taking too long. Many people think that there are not any lines in the West, so they do not expect to have to wait for such a long time when they arrive in the United States. The customs processing area at the San Francisco Airport was divided into three areas: the first for US citizens, the second for non-US citizens, and the third for new immigrants. The first two entrances on the left were for US citizens; these were not crowded, clearly showing the advantage of being an American. Non-US citizens—the largest number of people arriving—immediately felt inferior.

There were groups of Japanese people at the immigration gate. Nowadays, large numbers of Japanese people travel and do business all over the world, showing the strength of a wealthy country and people. Although many foreigners do not like Japanese people, they cannot help but respect them because of Japan’s economic power. It’s been said that the US government is considering granting Japanese people special treatment because there are so many of them: visa waiver status. Based on statistics, this would improve customs processing times by one-third. But diplomacy requires reciprocity, and the Japanese [government] does not seem willing to grant Americans visa waivers.

One can draw at least two conclusions from the Japanese nation’s development: first, economic strength is the basis for determining a nation’s international status and international image; second, a nation’s international status and international image do not depend on economic strength alone.   

The United States is a very developed society in many respects. Anyone who comes to the US will feel a sort of “future shock.”2 [In this situation], one type of person will just think about how they can enjoy being in America; another type of person will ponder why there is an America.

Different people have different answers to the latter question. I asked some friends; one answered: first, [the United States] is extremely rich in resources, and second, it encourages competition among talented people. Another friend added that at least people [feel this way] when they first come to America. I also asked G, a friend studying for a PhD at Stanford. He answered “tradition.”

I think this is the most abstract but also the most valuable explanation. The development of any society is not purely a result of economic factors, nor is it caused by short-term adjustments in behavior. A society developing into the “richest in the world” is definitely not an outcome that can just be forced or manipulated into place by willful human effort. 

So, what forces have driven people in this society to strive for generations [to reach this level of success]? Many specific concepts to explain this have been suggested, such as innovation, work ethic, industriousness, and thrift. But what is most important is whether these forces can become a cultural gene: a tradition. Regardless of the factors that are conducive to social development, if these factors do not become a tradition, they will not become deeply rooted in a society.

It takes the efforts of several generations for factors like this to have an effect on a society. Americans talk constantly about innovation and, in reality, the American tradition [of innovation] is very strong. The Chinese also talk constantly about innovation, but [China’s] tradition [of innovation] has had its ups and downs. Some people say that, to Americans, innovation is not in conflict with tradition; to Americans, tradition and innovation are the same thing, since traditions that exist today were innovations only thirty or fifty years ago. To Chinese people, the idea of innovation is in opposition to tradition, and it is not easy to counteract thousands of years of tradition.       

Nowadays, many people flood to the US, and [this phenomenon] deserves deep reflection. A heated discussion has emerged among Chinese intellectuals recently on the topic of re-evaluating socialism and capitalism.3 The main reason this topic is currently being discussed in China is because socialism has been in place now for several decades but it does not measure up to capitalism in areas like the economy. Is the social development model demonstrated by Marx a hundred and fifty years ago compatible with the historical development of mankind? Can socialism ultimately triumph over capitalism? This is what people are uncertain about. This is like the movie Red Guards of Honghu Lake, which was shown on the Boeing 747 on my flight to the United States.4 The Chinese people overturned the “three mountains” of imperialism, feudalism, and bureaucratic capitalism, which had long burdened them, but did this guarantee the development of Chinese society?5 What impact do revolutions similar to the Chinese revolution, where rural areas overtook cities as the center [of society] and the rural population became the driving force [in society], have on the development of societies? It is certainly worth considering.   

Today, America’s development, with its economic prosperity, political processes, lifestyle, and international status, has sown a lot of uncertainty in the world. People in developed countries have this fundamental concern: human science and technology and material life have developed up to this stage. Is this [stage] contrary to human nature? Will it cause the depletion of the earth’s resources? Will it ultimately lead to the destruction of mankind? Members of the Club of Rome are deeply concerned about this and have [long voiced concern over this issue].6

However, people in developing countries have a completely different set of [questions]: what forces created such an awe-inspiring material civilization? What administrative and intellectual systems created the conditions for this development? Is such an [end-state] the result of chance, or was it a historic inevitability? People begin feeling uncertain about this system, which makes them feel uncertain about their own system. In any case, America  has created this uncertainty.   

By entering the United States, one enters this [state of] uncertainty. Even without going to America you will still succumb to it. It is a strange phenomenon. It is easy to enter a state of uncertainty but hard to get out of it. 

2. Manhattan and Chinatown

The plane landed in New York. After arriving I picked up my luggage. Everyone [from the flight] had gone, but there was still no trace of the friend who had agreed to pick me up so I was really nervous. I’d heard from a friend that it might be a bit scary when you arrive in New York, [since] the crime rate is extremely high. I feared I would run into criminals and was really uneasy. Half an hour later my friend arrived—I was so relieved.

We left the airport and went directly to the United Nations [headquarters]. The architecture was imposing and stately. We went to the Security Council [meeting venue] and took pictures. We went to the UN General Assembly meeting venue, found the seat of the Chinese UN Representative, sat in it and took a photo. We also took a photo of each of us giving a speech at the UN podium. While we were visiting the UN we saw the beautiful and valuable gifts from different countries, like ivory sculptures from China, royal ships from Thailand, and drawings from the Soviet Union. These gifts show that citizens of this world all want to [be respected] in the UN, but how many countries actually believe in the principles of the UN? It seems like everyone wants to join and show their love for it, but in reality, they constantly violate [what it stands for].

In today’s world, where there are diverse interests, strict ideological boundaries, and conflicts of all kinds constantly emerging, the UN has not served the purpose that it should serve. However, the UN still plays a role that cannot be underestimated, especially in the areas of socioeconomic and cultural development. With respect to [resolving] conflicts, the Iran-Iraq ceasefire is an outstanding example.

Today’s world is a world that still requires [conscious] human control. Looking at the statue in front of the UN building, where swords are turned into plowshares, I thought about what methods people should use [to resolve conflicts]. History shows that many people believe war is necessary, which results in swords being used as swords, not as plowshares. 

The atmosphere was familiar In New York’s Chinatown. It seemed a bit more rundown than other areas. It is said that Chinatown is a complex area and that it has everything to give it a characteristically Chinese appearance. It makes people think of Bo Yang’s The Ugly Chinese.7 I didn’t [spend much time] in Chinatown, but [from what I have seen] there are a lot of small businesses. Gazing at signs with Chinese characters on them over the streets in this bustling area reminds one of far-away China. This area stands in stark contrast to the rest of Manhattan. One place brings to mind Chinese culture; the other  informs one about Western culture.    

The United States and China are an eternal topic of conversation for nearly all Chinese scholars and foreign students in America. There are two eternal centers to this eternal topic: economic development and political democracy. The economic achievements and technological progress made by the US in this century are obvious to all; today no country in the world can surpass them. The Japanese are overbearing, fierce, and ascendant, but with the exception of their economic competitiveness they still cannot compare to the US in areas like military [power], culture, and natural resources. 

What needs to be analyzed is the role that America’s economic development has played in its political development. The United States holds the world’s attention in these two areas, whereas China is too lacking in them. Therefore, these two areas have become eternal topics in the modernization process. How can China’s economic modernization be realized? The most fundamental question is, can the process of economic modernization be achieved under public [state] ownership? Most developed countries in the world today do not have public [state] ownership. This reality poses the largest [intellectual] challenge to people.

Second, how does political democracy develop? Does it happen along with economic [modernization] or out of sync with it? These two major subjects have become hot topics of discussion this year.    

One argument is that economic modernization cannot be achieved without political democracy. The cases of Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea refute this, as they did not have political democracy when their economies really took off. Hong Kong was under colonial rule, Taiwan was under a one-party dictatorship, and South Korea was run by the military.  Another argument is that economic development will [create] the conditions for political democracy, an example being the democratization movements in newly-industrializing regions and countries. The counterargument to this is also very strong: after developed Western nations went through the bourgeois revolution, their economies were still not considered developed. Their economies were far from comparable to the economic strength of some of today’s developing countries, but the foundations for democratic systems were still established. 

This issue is probably something that theoretical circles in China should [focus on]. Economic development is just a phenomenon; centralization or democracy may spur or inhibit economic development, but the central concern needs to be whether the social changes that occur during the process of economic development are advantageous for the development of political democracy.

Without economic development, developing countries will have to depend on developed countries economically—primarily in areas like technology, equipment, and precision instrumentation. However, the different development stages of each country also have to be considered. For example, African countries primarily need food to sustain basic living conditions. Regardless of what their needs are, the result is the formation of a special exchange mechanism: developing countries need to use their best products in [market] exchanges with developed countries. As a result, people in developing countries have no way to partake in the best products produced in their own countries, or even the second-best products, as these products are consumed by foreigners who come to these developing countries.     

The US market has products from every country and region in the world, including China, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Jamaica, and Mexico. The best products from all countries and regions in the world [are drawn to] the US market in exchange for US dollars. Since everyone wants US dollars there is intense competition, so product quality is very high and prices are very low. This situation has created the unprecedented prosperity of the US market. This is the result of market mechanisms as well as a benefit the United States has enjoyed since the US dollar’s international status [as a global reserve currency] was determined at the Bretton Woods Conference after World War II.8 Of course, many foreign products have entered the United States and have challenged American domestic industries, causing factory closures and unemployment—this cannot be ignored. Therefore, the two major forces of free trade and protectionism are always at odds.

3. “The Four Cs”

After living in the United States for just a short time, I’ve [observed that there are] several things that are particularly ubiquitous in American society. By looking at this outer veneer, one can discover some fundamental characteristics of the societal dynamics operating in the United States. Four are discussed [below]: 

1. Many Cars – there are always clusters of cars driving in large and small cities, on highways and rural roads. Cars come in all shapes, sizes, and models.

When I was in Washington, Antony King, the Vice-Chancellor of the University of Essex in the UK, pointed to the various cars in the street and said to me: “Ten years ago, most of the cars I saw in the United States were made in the United States. Nowadays, there are all kinds of cars, especially Japanese cars.” The car war between the United States and Japan is [well underway]. Japanese cars have made such inroads in the American market primarily because of how large the American car market is and how important cars are to individual lives.

In the United States not having a car is like not having legs. The highway system is very well-developed, usually with three lanes on the left and the right. The lanes are divided by speed—fast, medium, and slow—and in some places there are seven lanes on both the left and right. All kinds of cars are driving day and night. Most families have a car, and many families have more than one. At Stanford University I once went to a professor’s house and [saw] there were three cars. The United States is one of the very few countries in the world with such a large number of privately-owned cars.   

2. Many Calls – In the United States there are phones everywhere you go. All offices and homes have phones. Some households even have several phones. All public spaces have [pay] phones where you can make calls by putting in a certain number of coins. Now there are also phone cards—all you have to do to make a call is insert the card into the phone. In airports there are rows of pay phones; there are also pay phones in hotels. When I was in Washington I stayed at the Sheraton and Hilton hotels, and each hotel had rows of pay phones in the lobby. Universities also have pay phones in public areas like libraries, dining halls, conference venues, computer centers, and language centers.

Not only are phones everywhere, but they’re also efficient and convenient; [the connection] is always very fast, regardless of where you are calling. To make domestic long-distance calls, you just pick up the phone and dial—you can get through in half a minute at most. Calling anywhere in the world is easy, you just pick up the phone and dial. Using the telephone is a big part of everyday life, including dating and falling in love. Many [American] parents told me that their sons and daughters make calls to their sweethearts that sometimes last for two hours; they monopolize the phone line so no other calls can come in, and it costs a lot of money.  Naturally a society with a well-developed telephone system [wouldn’t necessarily have this problem]—you can use phones for romance or to talk about other things.         

3.  Many Computers – the large number of computers is another major characteristic [of American society]. No matter where you go, you will see people using computers. When I visited the National Security Council, I noticed that everyone there used computers. College professors have computers in their offices or at home. At hotels the entire management system is computerized. Drivers licenses issued by the Department of Transportation [sic] must be entered into a computer. Payments in stores and restaurants are computerized. Records retrieval in libraries is computerized. The system for depositing money in a bank is computerized. Factory production, government offices, military operations, flights, etc. all use computers extensively.

Computers make everything fast, accurate, and easy to reference. Computers can also be integrated into national or international networks. When I visited the Yale University library, Mr. Ma, [the librarian] responsible for East Asia, typed in my name and within seconds found two of my books—National Sovereignty and Comparative Political Analysis—[in the holdings of] two other universities. Computers can talk to each other; as long as you know the other party’s computer number (Bignet ID) [sic], you can send content to the other party.

4. Many Cards – these “cards” are by no means the same sort of “cards” we have in China. Many cards have been used in China, like the [ration stamps] used for coal briquettes, eggs, daily consumer goods, vegetables, and so forth, which are all made of paper. The cards [in the US] are plastic with a tape-like strip on the back that can store information. There are countless such cards, like credit cards, cards for withdrawing cash, library cards, phone cards, identity cards, and so on. There are many different types of each sort of card.

New cards are still coming out; [for example], the newspaper [had an advertisement] about a new service offered by an airline—if you purchased a certain type of ticket then you could get first class [services] for free. This voucher is [an example] of this type of card. When I flew United Airlines from San Francisco to Iowa, the ticket was actually a card similar to this.

Cards and computer systems are linked; just by inserting the card into a computer you can do all kinds of things, like withdrawing money, depositing money, and checking bank balances. You can use a card and computer to handle these things and do not need to find a bank teller. When most working people take out their wallets there are a lot of cards in them. Wallets have even changed because there are so many cards—they now have several pockets specifically for holding cards. The wallets currently being made in China probably cannot be exported to the US or other Western countries since they do not have places to put cards.    

The above [items] constitute the “four Cs.” The important thing is the role [these items] play in social organization and management:

  1. Having so many cars makes the entire society a dynamic whole, with vehicles [enabling] not just the movement of people and objects, but of ideas and energy. 
  2. With phones everywhere, the entire society forms a system of information extending in all directions, and with the transmission of words comes the transmission of emotions and information.
  3.   Having computers everywhere [facilitates] highly integrated social management, and computerized information is an impartial form of management.
  4.   Having so many cards allows for the symbolization of social management, liberating people from the management of physical objects (people and things) and shifting to the management of symbols.

The development of the aforementioned four areas is crucial to a society, and constitutes a driving force and channel for political socialization and political communication. Progress in these areas makes a society’s systems, principles, and vitality increasingly rooted in the hearts of its people, increasingly realized in the material world, and increasingly solid.

These “Four Cs” have also brought many problems. Modernization has costs for humanity and nature.

  • Cars everywhere bring more pollution, more traffic accidents, and more waste.
  • Phones everywhere bring more disruptions and more eavesdropping.
  • Computers everywhere make society’s communication mechanisms more fragile. If a machine fails or a “virus” infects a computer, it will immediately have a widespread impact and sometimes a large quantity of data will be lost.
  • Cards everywhere bring more theft, more losses, and more forgeries and related crimes. 

How a society solidifies its institutions is a major issue. It is difficult to have solidified institutions if the institutions are [grounded] only in themselves. Only when the institutions are integrated into people’s lives can they be truly solidified.

1. The word yíhuò [疑惑] has a wider semantic range in Chinese than in English and it can mean “puzzle,” “question,” and “doubt” in addition to “uncertainty.” Thus this title could alternatively be translated as “the puzzle posed by America.” Likewise, our translation of the following passage ( “people begin feeling uncertain [疑惑] about this system, which makes them feel uncertain [疑惑] about their own system. In any case, America  has created this uncertainty  [疑惑] ”) could be alternatively translated as “people begin by feeling puzzled  [疑惑]  by  this system, which makes them puzzled  [疑惑]  by their own system. In any case, America has created this sense of puzzlement  [疑惑].”
2. The phrase “future shock” derives from the Chinese translation of a 1970 book of the same name that was written by American futurist Alvin Toffler. One of Toffler’s main theses is that the modern human feel increasing psychological unease because of the rapid technological changes that occur over his life. Both Future Shock and Toffler’s subsequent book,The Third Wave, gained widespread recognition in China, with Chinese premier Zhao Ziyang using Toffler’s arguments to justify party policy on scientific development. For a detailed discussion of Toffler’s reception in China and his influence on Chinese policy-making, see Julian Gewirtz, “The Futurists of Beijing: Alvin Toffler, Zhao Ziyang, and China’s ‘New Technological Revolution,’ 1979-91,” The Journal of Asian Studies 78, No. 1 (February 2019): 115-140. 
3. A heated debate on the merits and meaning of socialism and capitalism rocked the Chinese intellectual sphere in the 1980s as reformers sought to chart a new path for China’s future. For a longer discussion of these debates see Julian Gewirtz, Never Turn Back: China and the Forbidden History of the 1980s (Cambridge, Massachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2022) and Yan Sun, The Chinese Reassessment of Socialism, 1976-1992 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1995).  
4. The Red Guards of Honghu Lake is a 1961 film adapted from a modern Chinese opera, which in turn is loosely based on events that occurred in the CPC’s Honghu Base Area in the 1930s.
5. At the time of the PRC’s founding in 1949, Chairman Mao Zedong described imperialism, feudalism, and bureaucratic capitalism as the “three mountains” oppressing the Chinese people. The goal of the Chinese Communist Party was thus to liberate them. Mao originally used this analogy in the concluding speech at the Seventh National People’s Congress in June 1945. Alluding to the  ancient Chinese fable that told the story of a foolish old man who touched God’s heart with his determination to remove a mountain one bucket at a time, Mao said that “Today, two big mountains lie like a dead weight on the Chinese people. One is imperialism, the other is feudalism. The Chinese Communist Party has long made up its mind to dig them up. We must persevere and work unceasingly, and we, too, will touch God's heart.” Mao Zedong, “The Foolish Old Man who Removed the Mountains,” Selected Works of Mao Zedong, 11 June 1945.
6. Founded in 1968, the Club of Rome is an association of intellectuals and business leaders committed to the critical discussion of global issues, with a special focus on resource use and sustainability.  In 1972, the Club commissioned a report titled Limits to Growth that predicted, by means of computer simulation, that a sudden decline in both human population and industrial capacity was inevitable as humanity depleted natural stocks of  non-reusable resources like oil. The report received considerable attention in China and was a factor in the adoption of the one child policy in 1979. Susan Greenhalgh, “Missile Science, Population Science: The Origins of China’s One-Child Policy,” The China Quarterly, no. 182 (2005): 253–76.
7. The Ugly Chinese (1985) is a collection of lectures and essays written by Taiwanese novelist and philosopher Bo Yang. In these essays, Bo Yang engages in an extensive critique of Chinese culture, attributing various social ills at the time to fundamental cultural flaws that Bo believed typified the Chinese tradition, such as a tendency to fight amongst themselves and an inherent slavishness. The book gained instant popularity in Taiwan and Japan. It created huge fanfare when it was published in mainland China in 1986, but was subsequently banned in 1987. When Wang Huning published America Against America, Bo’s work was still banned in mainland China. 
8. Held in 1944 in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire in 1944, the Bretton Woods Conference gathered representatives from England and the United States to hammer out new rules to govern the international monetary and financial order after the conclusion of Second World War. 

一、不均匀的土地

1. 美国制造的疑惑

CA985 经过日本东京,然后长途飞越波涛汹涌的太平洋,抵达旧金山。由于飞机误点,与欧洲抵美和日本抵美的班机挤在一起。平日里十分宽敞的取行李及过海关的大厅显得十分拥挤,人声鼎沸。不论从何处来的人,都带着一种抵达美国的兴奋心情。

有一架飞机可能是从法国来的,许多人讲法语。排队过关,等了一个多小时,大家也象在中国一样发牢骚,等的时间太久。许多人都以为排队在西方应该是没有的,岂料一到美国就要排这么长时间的队。旧金山机场入境处的海关办理柜台分为三类:一是美国公民,二是非美国公民,三是新移民。左边前两个入口为美国公民的入口,人烟稀少,显出作为美国公民的优越。非美国公民,入关口人数最多,顿觉低人一等。

在入关处,有成群的日本人。现在世界上日本人到处旅游、经商,成群结队,显示了富国富民的实力。尽管不少外国人觉得日本人不可爱,但这种经济力量使人不得不刮目相看。据说,由于日本人太多,美国政府正在考虑给予日本人一种待遇:免签证。据统计,这样一来,美国海关入口处的办关速度可加快三分之一。但外交上需要同等待遇,日本人似乎不愿意免美国人的签证。

从日本民族的发展,人们至少可以得出两个结论:一是经济实力是决定一个民族国际地位和国际形象的基本力量;二是一个民族的国际地位和国际形象并不仅仅取决于经济实力。

美国是一个许多方面都相当发达的社会,任何人一到美国都会感觉到一种“未来的冲击”。因此,人们就会思考,一种人是想如何享受美国,另一种人是思考为什么有美国。

对后一个问题,不同的人有不同的回答。我问朋友。一位朋友答:一是资源异常丰富,二是鼓励人才竞争。另一位朋友补充说,至少人们刚到美国时是这样。我问 G,一位在斯坦福大学攻读博士学位的朋友,答:传统。

我觉得这是一个最抽象、但又最有价值的解释。任何社会的发展都不是纯经济的力量所致,也非短期内的行为调整可致。一个社会发展到这样“富甲天下”的程度,绝非人为强行操作的结果。

那么什么力量在主导这个社会中的人做出世代的奋斗呢?人们可以得出许多具体的概念,如创新、奋斗、勤俭等。最为重要的是,这些东西能否成为一种文化基因,一种传统。不论什么有利于社会发展的因素,如果不是构成传统,便不可能根深蒂固地发生作用。

任何一种好的因素要产生作用,必须有几代人的努力。美国人整天讲创新,但实际上传统势力极强。中国人也整天讲创新,结果是传统屡起屡伏。有人言,美国人讲创新,并不在于反对传统。美国人的传统和创新如同一物,今日的传统只不过是三、五十年前的创新。中国人讲创新意在反传统。然而,一、二千年的传统却又不易反掉。

今天,人们大量涌入美国,便我们不能不深长思之。出来前几天,国内理论界正热烈讨论一个主题,就是对社会主义和资本主义的再认识。这个问题之所以目前在国内引起人们的讨论,基本原因在于社会主义搞了几十年,在经济等方面却不如资本主义。马克思在一百五十年前论证的社会发展程式究竟是否符合人类历史发展的进程?社会主义是否能最终战胜资本主义?这是当人的疑惑。想起在飞往美国的波音 747 飞机上放的电影《洪湖赤卫队》。中国人推翻了长期以来压在他们身上的三座大山,但这有没有确保中国社会发展的方向?像中国革命这样一场以农村包围城市为主,以农村人口为主要力量的革命,对一个社会的发展究竟会会产生什么样的影响?的确值得思考。

今日美国之发展,以其经济繁荣,其政治过程、其生活方式、其国际地位,在当今世界上制造了一大大的疑惑。处于发达国家中的人带有这压根的疑惑:人类的科技和物质生活发展到这一步。是否违背了人的本性?是否会导致地球资源的枯竭?是否会最终致使人类走向毁灭?罗马俱乐部的同仁们对此忧心忡忡,长呼短吁。

处于发展中国家的人却带着截然不同的疑惑:是什么力量创造了如此令人眼花繚乱的物质文明?什么体制在管理和智力上为这种发展创造了良好的条件?这样一个境界是偶然的抑或必然的?人们开始怀疑这种体制,人们开始怀疑自己的体制。无论怎么说,美国都制造了一种疑惑。

走进美国,便走进了这种疑惑。没有走进美国,也会陷入这种疑惑。一个奇怪的现象是:走入疑惑易,走出疑惑难。

2.曼哈顿和唐人街

飞机抵达纽约上空。下来后,取了行李。人都走光了,还不见约定来接人的朋友的影子,心里紧张。听朋友介绍,一到纽约,会觉得一种恐怖感,这里犯罪率极高。生怕遭遇上歹徒,因为颇为忐忑不安。半个小时后,朋友前来,如释重负。

出机场后,直接来到联合国大厦。联合国大厦的建筑雄伟堂皇。我们去了安全理事会,拍了照。有前往联合国大会会场,找到中国代表团的席位,坐上去拍了一张照片。又在联合国讲台上各人照了一张发表演说的照片。在联合国参观时,看到各国送的精美而贵重的礼品,如中国的象牙雕塑,泰国的御船,苏联送的图画等等。这表明这个世界上的公民都想在联合国得到一种声誉,但现实生活中又有多少国家信奉联合国的原则呢?这似乎与一个人的团体一样,每个人都想加入它,并显示自己对它的热爱,但实际上处处违背它。

当今世界,利益多元化,意识形态壁垒森严,各种冲突层出不穷,联合国的确没有起到它应有的作用。但是,联合国也起了不可低估的作用,尤其是在社会经济文化发展方面。在消弭冲突方面,两伊停火也算是个杰出的例子。

今天的世界仍然是一个需要人类加以控制的世界。望着联合国大厦前化剑为犁的雕像,思索人们该用什么方法来熔化利剑。过去的历史表明,许多认为战火也是一种手段,结果是以剑化剑,总不成犁。

纽约的唐人街,觉得风格颇为熟悉。比起其他地方显得稍微脏乱一些。据说唐人街是一块复杂的地区,中国人特有的现象在这里都有。令人想起柏杨的“丑陋的中国人”。没有在唐人街多走,从外表看看,做小本生意的很多。在这块熙熙攘攘的地段,望着满街写满中国字的找牌,令人回想起遥远的中国。这块地方与曼哈顿区的其他地段形成鲜明的对照。一个令人想起中国文化,一个告诉人们西方文化。

在美国,畅谈美国和中国,几乎是所有在美国的中国学者和留学生的永恒话题。在这个永恒的话题中,又有两个永恒的中心:经济发展和政治民主。美国在本世纪取得的经济成就和科技进步,是有目共睹的,当今世界还没有哪个国家能超越它。日本人虽然咄咄逼人,来势凶猛,后来居上,但除了经济上的竞争实力之外,在军事、文化、资源等领域还是不能与美国相提并论。

需要加以分析的是,美国的经济发展对其政治发展究竟起了什么作用。在这两个方面,美国皆为世界所瞩目。而中国在这两个方面欠账太多。因而,这两个方面都成为现代化过程中永恒的话题。中国的经济现代化如何实现?最根本问题是,在公有制条件下能否完成经济现代化的过程?当今世界上发达国家大都不是公有制。这一现实,给人们最大的思维挑战。

其次是政治民主如何发展?与经济同步,还是不同步?这两大课题成了今年来讨论的热点。

一种说法是,没有政治民主,经济现代化不可能达到;反驳的一件事,香港、台湾、新加坡、南朝鲜在经济起飞阶段并没有政治民主,香港是殖民统治,台湾是一党专政,南朝鲜是军人干政。另一种说法是,经济发展了,政治民主就有了条件,例子是新兴工业地区和国家的民主化运动;反驳的意见也很强烈:西方发达国家在资产阶级革命后,经济并不算发达,远不能和今天一些发展中国家的经济实力相比,但民主共和制的体制基本建立了。

这个问题,大约是中国理论界必须深长思之的。经济发展只是一种现象,集中或者民主都有可能促进或者抑制经济发展,需要关心的是,在经济发展后社会中的哪些变化会有利于发展政治民主。

由于经济不发展,发展中国家在经济上就不能不依赖发达国家。主要是在高科技、设备、精密仪器等方面。不过也要视各个国家的发展阶段不同,如非洲国家,就主要需要食品以维持基本生存条件。不论需要什么,结果形成了一种特殊的交换机制:发展中国家要拿出最好的东西与发达国家交换。于是发展中国家的人民无法享受本国生产的最优产品,甚至是第二等产品也不能享受。因为第二等产品要供来到这些国家的外国人消费。

美国市场上各国各地区的产品都有,中国、台湾、南朝鲜、日本、牙买加、墨西哥等。世界各国各地区的精华产品都涌向美国市场,以换取美元。由于大家都想取得美元,形成强大的竞争,产品的质量很高,价格却很低。这种状况造成美国市场空前的繁荣。这是市场机制造成的结果,也是二次大战后布雷顿森林会议确定的美元的世界地位给美国带来的好处。当然,外国的产品大批进入美国,冲击美国本身的工业,造成工厂倒闭,失业增加,这一点也不能不看到,所以自由贸易和保护主义这两大势力始终争斗不休。

3. 四个 C 多

在美国生活不久之后,发现这个社会有几样东西特别多。透过这些东西的表面现象,可以发现社会动态组织的一些基本条件。先说这四多。

1. 车多(Car)大小城市,高速公路和乡村公路上时时都跑着成串的汽车。

车的形状千姿百态,各种各样的型号应有尽有。在华盛顿时,英国 Essex 大学的副校长安东尼·金(Antony King)曾指着街上形形色色的车对我说:“十年前,我在美国看到的大部分车都是美国制造的,如今各式各样的车都有,日本车尤其多。”美日之间的汽车战已经是众所周知。日本汽车之所以能打入美国市场,一个重要的原因是,美国汽车市场实在是太大,汽车对于个人实在太重要。

在美国没有汽车就像没有腿。高速公路系统十分发达,一般左右各三个通道。分高、中、慢三档,有的地方左右各有七个车车道。上面日夜不停地跑着各种汽车。一般家庭都有汽车,许多家庭不止一辆。在斯坦福大学我曾去一位教授家,共有三辆车。美国的私人拥有汽车总数之大在世界上也是屈指可数的。

2. 电话多(Call)在美国,走到哪里都可以看到电话。所有的办公室和家庭都有电话。家庭的电话还有一个到几个分机。在公共场所,都有自动电话机,投入一定数目的硬币就可以打。现在又推出一种电话卡电话机,打电话时只要将卡塞入电话机就可以打。机场里,有一排排这种自动电话。在旅馆里也设置了很多这类电话。我在华盛顿时住过 Sheraton 和 Hilton 饭店,楼下大厅里都有成排的自动电话。在大学中,公共场所也设有这类电话,如图书馆、饭堂、会场、计算机中心、语言中心等。

不仅电话多,而且灵捷方便。无论打到哪里,都很迅速。国内长途电话,拿起话筒拨号,最多半分钟便可接通。打到世界各地,也不费事,拿起电话来拨就行。人们办事地一大特点是利用电话,很多事情均靠电话来解决,包括谈恋爱。有不少家长对我说,子女打电话谈恋爱,一打两个小时,其他电话打不进来,费用颇巨。自然,电话系统发达的社会功能不在这里,可以谈恋爱,也可以谈别的。

3. 电脑多(Computer)电脑之多,也是一大特色。无论走到哪里,都可以看到与你打交道的人要用电脑。参观国家安全委员会时,发现里面的人都使用电脑。大学教授办公室或家里都有电脑。在旅馆住,整个管理是电脑化的。在运输部版驾驶执照,都要输入电脑。在商店和饭堂购物,付账是电脑化的。在图书馆检索,资料检索是电脑化的。到银行存钱,其系统是电脑化的。工厂生产、政府办公、军队作战、飞机上天等等,都大量使用电脑。

电脑使一切事物变得迅速、准确、易查。电脑还可并入全国性或世界性的网络。我在耶鲁大学参观图书馆时,他们东亚负责人马先生马上打入我的名字,几秒钟便查出在另外两所大学有我的《国家主权》和《比较政治分析》两书。电脑还可以相互通话,只要知道对方的电脑号码(Bignet ID),就可以输入想告诉对方的内容。

4.  卡多(Card)这里的“卡”绝不是中国的“卡”的概念,中国有过一些卡,如煤球卡、蛋卡、日用品卡、菜卡等,都是纸做的卡。这里讲的卡是一种塑料质地的卡,背后有一条磁带式的东西,可以存储信息。此类卡,多得不胜枚举,如信用卡,取钱卡,借书卡,电话卡,身份卡……每一种卡又有不同种类。

新的卡还在不断涌现,报纸上曾经刊登一则消息说,一家航空公司推出一项新的服务,购一定的票可以免费享受头等舱的待遇,凭证是一张这样的卡。我从旧金山到爱荷华,坐联合航空公司的飞机,机票其实就是一张类似于这样的卡。

卡和电脑联系在一起,只要把卡插入一定的电脑,就可以办成有关的事情,如:取钱、存钱、查自己的存款数目,都可用卡和电脑来解决,不必找银行职员。差不多有工作的人拿出皮夹子,里面都有一大堆卡。由于卡多,皮夹子也变革了,里面有数个专门用来放卡的袋子。中国现在做的皮夹子,恐怕是不能出口到美国或者其他西方国家,因为没有放卡的地方。

以上将的是“四个 C 多”的现象。重要是它们在社会组织和社会管理中起的作用:

  1. 车多,使整个社会构成一个动态的整体,随着车辆运动的不仅有人和物品,还有思想、观念和精神;
  2. 电话多,使整个社会构成四通八达的信息系统,语言的传递伴随着情感、信息的传递;
  3. 电脑多,使整个社会管理的一体化达到很高的程度,电脑信息是一种公平的管理;
  4. 卡多,使整个社会的管理符号化,使人们对实物(人和物)的管理中解放出来,变成符号管理。

以上四个方面的发展对一个社会至关重要,其中这些方面是政治社会化,政治沟通的一股动力,一条渠道。这些方面的进展,使一个社会的制度、原则和精神日益深入人心,日益物质化,日益巩固。

“四个 C 多”带来的问题也不少,现代化是要人类社会和自然界付出代价的。

  • 车多——污染多,交通事故多,浪费多;
  • 电话多——干扰、窃听多;
  • 电脑多——社会通讯系统变得脆弱,一旦机器出故障,或有“病毒”侵入电脑,马上波及一大片,有时大批的数据资料荡然无存;
  • 卡多——失窃多,报失多,伪造犯罪多。

一个社会怎样巩固自己的制度是重大问题。单从制度着手,难得有牢固的制度,只有把制度真正注入到民众生活中去,才是真正的巩固。

Share this article
subscribe